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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 43.99%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
Result | ||
Bradford City | Draw | Colchester United |
43.99% ( 0) | 26.77% | 29.24% |
Both teams to score 49.69% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.96% ( -0.01) | 55.04% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.7% ( -0) | 76.3% ( 0.01) |
Bradford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.14% | 24.86% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.54% ( -0) | 59.46% ( 0.01) |
Colchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.13% ( -0) | 33.88% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.46% ( -0) | 70.54% ( 0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Bradford City | Draw | Colchester United |
1-0 @ 11.72% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 8.83% 2-0 @ 8.16% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.79% 3-2 @ 2.22% 4-1 @ 1.43% 4-0 @ 1.32% Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.99% | 1-1 @ 12.68% 0-0 @ 8.42% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.76% | 0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.87% 0-2 @ 4.93% 1-3 @ 2.48% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.78% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 2.34% Total : 29.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Walsall | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 28 | 15 | 13 | 30 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 29 |
4 | Notts County | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 28 |
5 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
6 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Chesterfield | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 25 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 17 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 25 |
9 | AFC Wimbledon | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 23 |
10 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Gillingham | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 3 | 23 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 25 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
16 | Newport CountyNewport | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 21 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
19 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 16 | 3 | 8 | 5 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 17 |
20 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 18 | -8 | 17 |
21 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 17 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 13 |
23 | Morecambe | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 13 |
24 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 13 |
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