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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
St James Park
Morecambe

Exeter
3 - 2
Morecambe

Stansfield (49', 57', 70')
Borges (73'), Sweeney (77'), Kite (83'), Caprice (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stockton (53', 90+14')
Weir (79'), Major (81'), Hunter (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Exeter City and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Ipswich 6-0 Exeter
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 3-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-2 Morecambe

Morecambe have shown they have what it takes to stay up with their performances in recent weeks, winning their last three games on the spin, and we expect them to move out of the relegation zone on the final day. Exeter have been out of sorts lately, and the game means far more to the visitors, who are likely to come away with a victory by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.15%.

The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawMorecambe
63.02% (-1.921 -1.92) 20.82% (0.766 0.77) 16.15% (1.153 1.15)
Both teams to score 51.46% (0.17 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.6% (-1.15 -1.15)44.4% (1.148 1.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.23% (-1.124 -1.12)66.77% (1.121 1.12)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.54% (-0.916 -0.92)13.46% (0.913 0.91)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.55% (-1.862 -1.86)40.45% (1.86 1.86)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.46% (0.816 0.82)40.54% (-0.817 -0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.86% (0.73 0.73)77.14% (-0.73099999999999 -0.73)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 63.02%
    Morecambe 16.15%
    Draw 20.82%
Exeter CityDrawMorecambe
2-0 @ 10.97% (-0.2 -0.2)
1-0 @ 10.94% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.037000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.34% (-0.399 -0.4)
3-1 @ 6.62% (-0.205 -0.21)
4-0 @ 3.68% (-0.336 -0.34)
4-1 @ 3.32% (-0.223 -0.22)
3-2 @ 2.99% (-0.025 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.5% (-0.066 -0.07)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.19 -0.19)
5-1 @ 1.33% (-0.139 -0.14)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 63.02%
1-1 @ 9.88% (0.37 0.37)
0-0 @ 5.46% (0.267 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.47% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 20.82%
0-1 @ 4.93% (0.344 0.34)
1-2 @ 4.46% (0.262 0.26)
0-2 @ 2.22% (0.202 0.2)
2-3 @ 1.35% (0.064 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.34% (0.106 0.11)
Other @ 1.86%
Total : 16.15%

How you voted: Exeter vs Morecambe

Exeter City
16.7%
Draw
16.7%
Morecambe
66.7%
6
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 20
Morecambe
1-1
Exeter
Stockton (34')
O'Connor (25')
Key (36')
Jan 26, 2021 6pm
gameweek 26
Exeter
0-2
Morecambe

Maxted (8')
Phillips (9' pen.), Stockton (66')
Phillips (56'), Diagouraga (85'), Cooney (90+2')
Nov 3, 2020 6.30pm
gameweek 11
Morecambe
2-2
Exeter
Mendes Gomes (41'), Hendrie (45+1')
Randall (33'), Taylor (72')
Randall (65')
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
gameweek 5
Morecambe
2-3
Exeter
Alessandra (45', 63')
Lavelle (80')
Lavelle (91')
Taylor (21'), Martin (25'), Law (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124


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