League One | Gameweek 46
May 7, 2023 at 12pm UK
St James Park
Exeter3 - 2Morecambe
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Ipswich 6-0 Exeter
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Morecambe 3-2 Lincoln
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
Saturday, April 29 at 3pm in League One
We said: Exeter City 1-2 Morecambe
Morecambe have shown they have what it takes to stay up with their performances in recent weeks, winning their last three games on the spin, and we expect them to move out of the relegation zone on the final day. Exeter have been out of sorts lately, and the game means far more to the visitors, who are likely to come away with a victory by a narrow margin. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Exeter City win with a probability of 63.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 16.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Exeter City win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.94%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.88%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Morecambe |
63.02% ( -1.92) | 20.82% ( 0.77) | 16.15% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 51.46% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.6% ( -1.15) | 44.4% ( 1.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.23% ( -1.12) | 66.77% ( 1.12) |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.54% ( -0.92) | 13.46% ( 0.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.55% ( -1.86) | 40.45% ( 1.86) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.46% ( 0.82) | 40.54% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.86% ( 0.73) | 77.14% ( -0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
Exeter City 63.02%
Morecambe 16.15%
Draw 20.82%
| Exeter City | Draw | Morecambe |
| 2-0 @ 10.97% ( -0.2) 1-0 @ 10.94% ( 0.17)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.4)3-1 @ 6.62% ( -0.21)4-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.34)4-1 @ 3.32% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.99% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.19)5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.95% Total : 63.02% | 1-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.37) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( 0.27)2-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.12)Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.82% | 0-1 @ 4.93% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 4.46% ( 0.26)0-2 @ 2.22% ( 0.2)2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.11)Other @ 1.86% Total : 16.15% |
How you voted: Exeter vs Morecambe
Exeter City
16.7%Draw
16.7%Morecambe
66.7%6
Head to Head
Dec 2, 2022 7.45pm
Jan 26, 2021 6pm
Nov 3, 2020 6.30pm
Apr 10, 2020 3pm
gameweek 43
Exeter
P-P
Morecambe
Aug 24, 2019 3pm
gameweek 5
Morecambe
2-3
Exeter
