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Championship header 2

League Two
Mansfield Town
League Two | Gameweek 2
Aug 12, 2023 at 3pm UK
One Call Stadium
Morecambe

Mansfield
3 - 0
Morecambe

Akins (45+1', 87' pen.), Keillor-Dunn (62')
Cargill (63'), Lewis (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)

McKiernan (45'), Love (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Mansfield Town and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mansfield Town

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Mansfield 2-0 Grimsby Town
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup

Morecambe

All competitions
League Two
Last Game: Rotherham 2-1 Morecambe (4-2 pen.)
Tuesday, August 8 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

We said: Mansfield Town 1-1 Morecambe

 This is a difficult match to call, as we believe there is not much difference between the sides in terms of quality. Four of the last five meetings between the sides across all competitions have resulted in draws, so we think the teams will share the spoils this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mansfield Town win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mansfield Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.79%) and 2-1 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.65%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mansfield Town would win this match.

Result
Mansfield TownDrawMorecambe
59.42% (-0.102 -0.1) 22.41% (0.044 0.04) 18.17% (0.058 0.06)
Both teams to score 50.46% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.17% (-0.105 -0.11)47.83% (0.105 0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.99% (-0.096 -0.1)70.01% (0.096999999999994 0.1)
Mansfield Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)15.72% (0.071000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.19% (-0.128 -0.13)44.81% (0.129 0.13)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.87% (0.007000000000005 0.01)40.13% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.23% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.77% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Mansfield Town 59.41%
    Morecambe 18.17%
    Draw 22.4%
Mansfield TownDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 11.67% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.79% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 6.66% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.08% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.81% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.006 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 59.41%
1-1 @ 10.65% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 22.4%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.87% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.63% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 18.17%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 32
Mansfield
1-0
Morecambe
Bowery (41')
Sweeney (21')

Gibson (20'), Lavelle (45'), Mellor (72')
Oct 20, 2020 6.30pm
Gameweek 7
Morecambe
1-1
Mansfield
Phillips (3')
Phillips (35'), Lavelle (50'), Cooney (82')
Charsley (26')
McLaughlin (29')
Feb 8, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 32
Morecambe
1-1
Mansfield
Kenyon (86')
Riley (60')
Watts (50')
Aug 13, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Mansfield
2-2
Morecambe
 Morecambe win 6-5 on penalties
Pearce (57'), Sterling-James (68')
Smith (5'), Rose (81')
Old (18', 59')
Oates (7'), Tanner (32'), Halstead (79')
Conlan (22')
Aug 10, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 2
Mansfield
2-2
Morecambe
Maynard (39'), Rose (72')
Preston (36'), Cook (93')
Preston (82')
Lavelle (4'), Alessandra (21')
Tutte (28'), Buxton (50')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale149322315830
2Walsall1382326141226
3Notts County1475222121026
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster148242016426
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe137331612424
6Chesterfield1457228151322
7Bradford CityBradford146442015522
8MK Dons146352116521
9BarrowBarrow146351511421
10Grimsby Town147071825-721
11Gillingham146261512320
12Salford City145541416-220
13AFC Wimbledon11614189919
14Newport CountyNewport146171824-619
15Fleetwood TownFleetwood134631915418
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham145271821-317
17Harrogate TownHarrogate144371119-815
18Bromley133551517-214
19Tranmere RoversTranmere13355816-814
20Accrington StanleyAccrington133461522-713
21Colchester UnitedColchester132651620-412
22Swindon TownSwindon142661520-512
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1422101228-168
24Morecambe141491225-137
> League Two Full Table


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