League Two

League Two | Gameweek 8

Sep 16, 2023 at 3pm UK

MEMS Priestfield Stadium

Gillingham
2 - 1
Morecambe

Lapslie (9'), Mahoney (23')
Williams (36'), Williams (59')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Mellon (11')
Mellon (39'), Connolly (52'), Love (75'), Tutonda (90+3')
Mellon (76')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League Two clash between Gillingham and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gillingham

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Harrogate
Saturday, September 9 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 Salford City
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 45.77%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.22%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.92%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gillingham would win this match.

Result
Gillingham	Draw	Morecambe
45.77% ( -0.02)	28.02% ( 0)	26.2% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 44.3%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.03% (

-0.01)

60.97% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.02% (

-0.01)

80.97% (

0.01)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.34% (

-0.02)

26.66% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.09% (

-0.02)

61.9% (

0.02)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.41% (

0.01)

39.58% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.73% (

0.01)

76.27% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Gillingham 45.77%

Morecambe 26.2%

Draw 28.01%

Gillingham	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 13.95% 2-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.06% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 1.89% Total : 45.77%	1-1 @ 12.92% 0-0 @ 10.55% 2-2 @ 3.96% Other @ 0.58% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 9.78% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.99% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.4% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.22% Other @ 1.42% Total : 26.2%