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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 69.99%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 12.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 1-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.16%), while for a Morecambe win it was 1-2 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Stockport County in this match.
Result | ||
Stockport County | Draw | Morecambe |
69.99% ( -0.08) | 17.48% ( 0.04) | 12.52% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 53.43% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.02% ( -0.11) | 36.97% ( 0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.84% ( -0.12) | 59.16% ( 0.12) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.53% ( -0.05) | 9.47% ( 0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.21% ( -0.11) | 31.79% ( 0.11) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.02% ( -0.02) | 40.97% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.46% ( -0.02) | 77.53% ( 0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Stockport County | Draw | Morecambe |
2-0 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.15% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 8.47% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 4.45% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 5-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 69.99% | 1-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 17.48% | 1-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.28% 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.52% Total : 12.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |