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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 47.84%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 27.19% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Morecambe | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
47.84% ( -0.15) | 24.97% ( 0.04) | 27.19% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 53.87% ( -0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.05% ( -0.09) | 48.95% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.96% ( -0.08) | 71.04% ( 0.08) |
Morecambe Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.5% ( -0.09) | 20.5% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.02% ( -0.16) | 52.98% ( 0.16) |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.76% ( 0.04) | 32.24% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.26% ( 0.05) | 68.74% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Morecambe | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
1-0 @ 10.47% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.39% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.81% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.74% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.83% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.96% | 0-1 @ 7.48% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.64% Total : 27.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |