Notts County2 - 5Stockport
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two
We said: Notts County 1-2 Stockport County
Back-to-back victories will have increased confidence significantly inside the Notts County camp, but the visit of the league leaders will seriously threaten the Magpies' winning run. Stockport are unlikely to take their foot off the gas despite already having promotion wrapped up, and we believe that the League Two title will be theirs on Tuesday night. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 50.69%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 27.55% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.59%) and 0-2 (6.54%). The likeliest Notts County win was 2-1 (6.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Stockport County |
27.55% ( -0.4) | 21.76% ( -0.14) | 50.69% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 65.41% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 66.11% ( 0.37) | 33.88% ( -0.37) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 44.26% ( 0.42) | 55.73% ( -0.42) |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( -0.07) | 24.15% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.53% ( -0.09) | 58.47% ( 0.1) |
| Stockport County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.24% ( 0.31) | 13.75% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 58.96% ( 0.61) | 41.04% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Stockport County |
| 2-1 @ 6.65% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.74% Total : 27.55% | 1-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.6% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.76% | 1-2 @ 9.29% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.54% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 6.14% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 4.36% ( 0.05)0-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 3.05% ( 0.07)2-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.05)0-4 @ 2.14% ( 0.05)1-5 @ 1.21% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.85% Total : 50.69% |
