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Championship header 2

League Two
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 33
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Grimsby Town

Colchester
2 - 0
Grimsby Town

Hopper (5'), Akinde (79')
Hornby (73'), Iandolo (75')
Dallison (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Obikwu (48'), Mullarkey (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last Game: Crawley 2-3 Colchester
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last Game: Crewe 0-3 Grimsby Town
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-1 Grimsby Town

 Colchester will be full of confidence following Saturday's win at Crawley, but we cannot envisage the U's winning back-to-back matches in League Two. There is a similar school of thought for Grimsby, who are unlikely to be victorious in successive outings after winning just once on the road previously, meaning that a share of the spoils is on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for Colchester United had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Colchester United win was 1-0 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
35.25% (-2.526 -2.53) 25.39% (-0.251 -0.25) 39.36% (2.779 2.78)
Both teams to score 56.21% (0.745 0.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42% (1.015 1.01)47.58% (-1.011 -1.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (0.932 0.93)69.78% (-0.92899999999999 -0.93)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.85% (-0.955 -0.95)26.15% (0.957 0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.78% (-1.298 -1.3)61.22% (1.3 1.3)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.11% (1.968 1.97)23.89% (-1.966 -1.97)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.91% (2.739 2.74)58.09% (-2.737 -2.74)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 35.25%
    Grimsby Town 39.36%
    Draw 25.39%
Colchester UnitedDrawGrimsby Town
1-0 @ 8.38% (-0.601 -0.6)
2-1 @ 8.05% (-0.327 -0.33)
2-0 @ 5.62% (-0.571 -0.57)
3-1 @ 3.6% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-2 @ 2.58% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-0 @ 2.51% (-0.332 -0.33)
4-1 @ 1.21% (-0.119 -0.12)
Other @ 3.31%
Total : 35.25%
1-1 @ 11.99% (-0.15 -0.15)
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.267 -0.27)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.098 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.056 0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.39%
0-1 @ 8.94% (0.133 0.13)
1-2 @ 8.59% (0.373 0.37)
0-2 @ 6.4% (0.444 0.44)
1-3 @ 4.1% (0.395 0.4)
0-3 @ 3.06% (0.369 0.37)
2-3 @ 2.75% (0.196 0.2)
1-4 @ 1.47% (0.214 0.21)
0-4 @ 1.09% (0.185 0.19)
2-4 @ 0.98% (0.12 0.12)
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 39.36%

How you voted: Colchester vs Grimsby Town

Colchester United
60.7%
Draw
28.6%
Grimsby Town
10.7%
28
Head to Head
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Grimsby Town
2-3
Colchester
Goodman (7' og.), Wilson (52')
Andrews (39')
Taylor (11'), Mitchell (35'), Read (64')
Mitchell (22'), Dallison (60'), Egbo (66')
> Preview
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 31
Grimsby Town
0-1
Colchester
Hopper (32')
Sep 17, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 10
Colchester
0-1
Grimsby Town
Clifton (63')
Mar 13, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 36
Grimsby Town
0-0
Colchester
Matete (25')
Pell (90+2')
Dec 5, 2020 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Colchester
2-1
Grimsby Town
Smith (8'), Harriott (56')
Gambin (63'), Eastman (87')
Hendrie (23')
Pollock (2')
rhs 2.0
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> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310
> League Two Full Table


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