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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
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Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Crawley Town
League Two | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 3pm UK
The People's Pension Stadium
Grimsby Town

Crawley
2 - 0
Grimsby Town

Orsi (24'), Lolos (34')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Crawley Town and Grimsby Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sutton 2-2 Crawley
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-0 Swindon
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crawley Town 2-1 Grimsby Town

Considering how much is on the line for Crawley this weekend it is hard to imagine them slipping up and dropping any points here, which is why they should get the win. However, the recent form of both teams will certainly make this a trickier game than the hosts would like. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.

Result
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
39.7% (0.069000000000003 0.07) 24.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 36.23% (-0.068000000000005 -0.07)
Both teams to score 61.13% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (0.00099999999999767 0)41.27% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.33%63.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Crawley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.06% (0.033000000000001 0.03)20.94% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.31% (0.051000000000002 0.05)53.68% (-0.052 -0.05)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.32% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)22.68% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.67% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)56.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Crawley Town 39.7%
    Grimsby Town 36.23%
    Draw 24.06%
Crawley TownDrawGrimsby Town
2-1 @ 8.61% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 7.43% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.8% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.49% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.3% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.18% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 39.7%
1-1 @ 11.01%
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.75%
3-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 24.06%
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 7.05% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.23% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 4.04% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.16% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 2.59% (-0.008 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.004 -0)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 0.96% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 36.23%

How you voted: Crawley vs Grimsby Town

Crawley Town
61.5%
Draw
7.7%
Grimsby Town
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Grimsby Town
2-3
Crawley
Holohan (24'), Eisa (30')
Conteh (38')
Kelly (32'), Darcy (35'), Orsi (90+6')
Maguire (17')
Mar 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Crawley
1-1
Grimsby Town
Telford (87' pen.)
Clifton (42')
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 14
Grimsby Town
3-0
Crawley
Glennon (4'), Holohan (52'), Taylor (85')
Feb 23, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 31
Grimsby Town
2-1
Crawley
Morais (21'), Adams (79')
Bunney (69'), Adams (70'), Hewitt (85'), (88'), Bunney (90+3')
Bunney (90+3')
Powell (30')
Wright (32'), Hessenthaler (90')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 14
Crawley
1-2
Grimsby Town
Watters (4')
Powell (78'), Watters (80')
Green (35'), Wright (51')
Hewitt (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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