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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crawley Town win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 36.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crawley Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.43%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Crawley Town would win this match.
Result | ||
Crawley Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
39.7% ( 0.07) | 24.06% ( -0) | 36.23% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 61.13% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.73% ( 0) | 41.27% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.33% | 63.67% ( -0) |
Crawley Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.06% ( 0.03) | 20.94% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.31% ( 0.05) | 53.68% ( -0.05) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.32% ( -0.04) | 22.68% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.67% ( -0.05) | 56.33% ( 0.05) |
Score Analysis |
Crawley Town | Draw | Grimsby Town |
2-1 @ 8.61% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.43% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.33% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 39.7% | 1-1 @ 11.01% 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.75% 3-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.06% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.05% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.04% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.16% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.5% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 36.23% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |