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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.96%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 35.83% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.49%) and 3-1 (5.13%). The likeliest Notts County win was 1-2 (7.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.21%). The actual scoreline of 5-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Grimsby Town | Draw | Notts County |
41.96% ( -0) | 22.2% | 35.83% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 68.24% ( 0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.01% ( 0) | 31.99% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.45% ( 0) | 53.55% ( -0) |
Grimsby Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.91% ( -0) | 16.08% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.53% ( -0) | 45.47% ( 0) |
Notts County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.32% ( 0) | 18.68% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.98% ( 0) | 50.02% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Grimsby Town | Draw | Notts County |
2-1 @ 8.42% 1-0 @ 5.49% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.13% 2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.3% 3-0 @ 3.06% 4-1 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.97% 4-0 @ 1.4% ( -0) 4-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 3.76% Total : 41.96% | 1-1 @ 9.21% 2-2 @ 7.06% 0-0 @ 3% 3-3 @ 2.41% Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.2% | 1-2 @ 7.73% 0-1 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.23% 2-3 @ 3.95% 0-3 @ 2.36% 1-4 @ 1.81% 2-4 @ 1.66% 3-4 @ 1.01% 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.83% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |