Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Harrogate Town win with a probability of 45.71%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Harrogate Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (8.33%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Harrogate Town would win this match.