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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tranmere Rovers win with a probability of 54.16%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Rochdale had a probability of 21.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tranmere Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.61%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Rochdale win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Rochdale |
54.16% ( 0.39) | 24.46% ( -0.17) | 21.38% ( -0.22) |
Both teams to score 49.3% ( 0.21) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.03% ( 0.43) | 51.97% ( -0.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.29% ( 0.37) | 73.71% ( -0.37) |
Tranmere Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.88% ( 0.31) | 19.12% ( -0.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.25% ( 0.52) | 50.74% ( -0.52) |
Rochdale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.95% ( 0.02) | 39.05% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.23% ( 0.02) | 75.77% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Tranmere Rovers | Draw | Rochdale |
1-0 @ 12.35% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.3% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.04) 4-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.19% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 54.15% | 1-1 @ 11.61% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.13) 2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.86% Total : 24.46% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 5.46% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.44% Total : 21.38% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | AFC Wimbledon | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 23 |
9 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
10 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
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