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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 32.17% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (8.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Northampton Town in this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Stockport County |
32.17% ( -5.48) | 25.71% ( -0.49) | 42.12% ( 5.96) |
Both teams to score 54.33% ( 0.78) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.34% ( 1.38) | 49.66% ( -1.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.32% ( 1.22) | 71.68% ( -1.22) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.94% ( -2.66) | 29.06% ( 2.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.03% ( -3.42) | 64.97% ( 3.42) |
Stockport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.59% ( 3.83) | 23.41% ( -3.83) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.59% ( 5.27) | 57.4% ( -5.27) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Stockport County |
1-0 @ 8.41% ( -1.17) 2-1 @ 7.54% ( -0.75) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( -1.18) 3-1 @ 3.11% ( -0.58) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.14) 3-0 @ 2.14% ( -0.69) 4-1 @ 0.96% ( -0.27) Other @ 2.55% Total : 32.17% | 1-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 6.8% ( -0.39) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.08) 3-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.53) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0.77) 0-2 @ 7.17% ( 1.09) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.78) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( 0.84) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.31) 1-4 @ 1.56% ( 0.42) 0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.4) 2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.2) Other @ 2.03% Total : 42.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 3 | 9 | 19 |
2 | Notts County | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 18 |
3 | Walsall | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 18 |
4 | BarrowBarrow | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 5 | 16 |
5 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 0 | 16 |
6 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 15 |
7 | Port Vale | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 12 | 2 | 15 |
8 | Grimsby Town | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 14 | -1 | 15 |
9 | Newport CountyNewport | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 17 | -2 | 15 |
10 | Chesterfield | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 13 |
11 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
12 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 12 |
14 | MK Dons | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 11 | 1 | 11 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 10 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 10 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 10 |
18 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 10 |
19 | Bromley | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
20 | Salford City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 9 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 4 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 18 | -9 | 3 |
> League Two Full Table |