MX23RW : Sunday, January 5 16:43:17| >> :120:50211:50211:
Bradford City
EFL Trophy | Quarter-Finals
Jan 30, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
The Utilita Energy Stadium
Doncaster Rovers

Bradford
1 - 0
Doncaster

Chapman (58')
Cook (77')
Cook (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

McGrath (57')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bradford City and Doncaster Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Bradford City 2-1 Doncaster Rovers

Bradford have already beaten Doncaster this season, and we think that they will claim another win against a side that has lost four of their last six away matches in all competitions. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 54.75%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Doncaster Rovers had a probability of 22.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.84%), while for a Doncaster Rovers win it was 0-1 (5.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bradford City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bradford City.

Result
Bradford CityDrawDoncaster Rovers
54.75% (0.161 0.16) 22.99% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02) 22.26% (-0.136 -0.14)
Both teams to score 55.08% (-0.106 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)44.88% (0.056999999999995 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76% (-0.052 -0.05)67.24% (0.054999999999993 0.05)
Bradford City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.71% (0.037999999999997 0.04)16.28% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.16% (0.067 0.07)45.84% (-0.064 -0.06)
Doncaster Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.79% (-0.15599999999999 -0.16)34.21% (0.158 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.09% (-0.169 -0.17)70.9% (0.17200000000001 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Bradford City 54.74%
    Doncaster Rovers 22.26%
    Draw 22.98%
Bradford CityDrawDoncaster Rovers
1-0 @ 10.1% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-1 @ 9.84% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.18% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.96% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.55% (0.034 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.19% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.7% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.52% (0.018 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 0.98% (0.004 0)
5-0 @ 0.91% (0.007 0.01)
Other @ 2.36%
Total : 54.74%
1-1 @ 10.84% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.57% (0.014 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.98%
0-1 @ 5.98% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.82% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.08% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.89% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.15% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 22.26%

How you voted: Bradford vs Doncaster

Bradford City
80.0%
Draw
6.7%
Doncaster Rovers
13.3%
15
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Dec 22, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 23
Doncaster
1-3
Bradford
Ironside (7')
Senior (65')
Cook (27', 85'), Smith (43')
Richards (90+5')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Doncaster
0-1
Bradford
Cook (71')
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Bradford
0-0
Doncaster
Harratt (90+8')
Ravenhill (6'), Tomlin (45+5'), Hurst (82'), Mitchell (89')
Tomlin (45+5')
Sep 8, 2020 7.30pm
Group Stage
Doncaster
0-0
Bradford
Doncaster win 4-1 on penalties
Shanks (79')
rhs 2.0
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