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FA Cup
Plymouth Argyle
FA Cup | Third Round
Jan 6, 2024 at 3pm UK
Home Park
Sutton United

Plymouth
3 - 1
Sutton

Cundle (18'), Hardie (68' pen.), Whittaker (90+1')
Edwards (65')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Angol (50')
Kizzi (34'), Clay (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Plymouth Argyle and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Plymouth Argyle

All competitions
Last Game: Plymouth 3-3 Watford
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship

Sutton United

All competitions
FA Cup
Last Game: Sutton 1-1 Newport
Monday, January 1 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Plymouth Argyle 3-0 Sutton United

 Plymouth have failed to get any wins since the departure of Schumacher but will be confident of breaking their winless streak on Saturday afternoon. Sutton have struggled in League Two this season, and it is hard to imagine the visitors advancing into the fourth round at Home Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Plymouth Argyle win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 21.49% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Plymouth Argyle win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 1-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 1-2 (5.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Plymouth Argyle would win this match.

Result
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSutton United
57.36% (-0.175 -0.17) 21.15% (-0.012 -0.01) 21.49% (0.195 0.2)
Both teams to score 60.35% (0.36199999999999 0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
62.59% (0.342 0.34)37.41% (-0.334 -0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
40.37% (0.36499999999999 0.36)59.64% (-0.358 -0.36)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.09% (0.060999999999993 0.06)12.91% (-0.052999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.66% (0.119 0.12)39.34% (-0.112 -0.11)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.29% (0.372 0.37)30.71% (-0.365 -0.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.03% (0.433 0.43)66.97% (-0.426 -0.43)
Score Analysis
    Plymouth Argyle 57.36%
    Sutton United 21.49%
    Draw 21.15%
Plymouth ArgyleDrawSutton United
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.31% (-0.1 -0.1)
1-0 @ 8.12% (-0.115 -0.12)
3-1 @ 6.69% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 5.67% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.95% (0.041 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.43% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.9% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.02% (0.025 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.4% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.19% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 3.88%
Total : 57.36%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.037999999999998 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.79% (0.047 0.05)
0-0 @ 3.97% (-0.064 -0.06)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.15%
1-2 @ 5.66% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
0-1 @ 4.68% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.76% (0.011 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (0.041 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.23% (0.036 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 21.49%

How you voted: Plymouth vs Sutton

Plymouth Argyle
81.5%
Draw
7.4%
Sutton United
11.1%
27
rhs 2.0
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6Aston Villa178452626028
7Manchester CityMan City178362925427
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12Brentford177283232023
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd176472122-122
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham175572230-820
15Everton163761421-716
16Crystal Palace173771826-816
17Leicester CityLeicester173592137-1614
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19Ipswich TownIpswich172691632-1612
20Southampton1713131136-256
> Premier League Full Table


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