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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 25
Dec 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
Sutton United

Gillingham
1 - 0
Sutton

Malone (72')
Coleman (36')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Goodliffe (9'), Goodliffe (10'), Hart (83'), Clay (84')
Smith (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Sutton United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Gillingham 1-0 Sutton United

This match is shaping up to be a tighter affair than initially expected, with Gillingham's form nosediving while Sutton seemed to have found their fighting spirit again. However, this is the perfect opportunity for the home side to find their scoring boots again, as they have been creating enough chances to put teams to bed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawSutton United
48.07% (-0.204 -0.2) 26.43% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 25.5% (0.127 0.13)
Both teams to score 48.09% (-0.101 -0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.17% (-0.191 -0.19)55.83% (0.19 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.05% (-0.155 -0.16)76.95% (0.155 0.16)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.75% (-0.173 -0.17)23.25% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.83% (-0.253 -0.25)57.17% (0.254 0.25)
Sutton United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.66% (0.009999999999998 0.01)37.34% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.88% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)74.12% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 48.07%
    Sutton United 25.5%
    Draw 26.42%
GillinghamDrawSutton United
1-0 @ 12.66% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.24% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.1% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.43% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.18% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.64% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.61% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 48.07%
1-1 @ 12.47% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.68% (0.063000000000001 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 8.55% (0.064 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.016 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.033 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.02% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.38% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 25.5%

Head to Head
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Sutton
0-1
Gillingham

Angol (5'), Milsom (25')
Nadesan (10')
Coleman (76')
Dec 29, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Sutton
2-1
Gillingham
Baggott (43' og.), Eastmond (90+3')
McKenzie (78')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Walsall1593328151330
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
4Notts County177732315828
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
6MK Dons168352719827
7Chesterfield1767430201025
8Grimsby Town178181926-725
9AFC Wimbledon157262314923
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12BarrowBarrow176471716122
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
19Colchester UnitedColchester163851922-317
20Tranmere RoversTranmere154561018-817
21Bromley153751719-216
22Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
23Morecambe1734101729-1213
24Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1734101429-1513


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