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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 48.07%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Sutton United had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.24%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.47%), while for a Sutton United win it was 0-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gillingham in this match.
Result | ||
Gillingham | Draw | Sutton United |
48.07% ( -0.2) | 26.43% ( 0.08) | 25.5% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 48.09% ( -0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.17% ( -0.19) | 55.83% ( 0.19) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.05% ( -0.16) | 76.95% ( 0.16) |
Gillingham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.75% ( -0.17) | 23.25% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.83% ( -0.25) | 57.17% ( 0.25) |
Sutton United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.66% ( 0.01) | 37.34% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.88% ( 0.01) | 74.12% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Gillingham | Draw | Sutton United |
1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.1% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.61% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.72% Total : 48.07% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.78% Total : 26.42% | 0-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 25.5% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Gillingham | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 2 | 10 | 19 |
2 | Walsall | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | 11 | 18 |
3 | BarrowBarrow | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 16 |
4 | Notts County | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
5 | Port Vale | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 14 |
6 | AFC Wimbledon | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 13 |
7 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 13 |
8 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 13 |
9 | Chesterfield | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 12 |
10 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 12 |
11 | Grimsby Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 12 |
12 | Newport CountyNewport | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 12 |
13 | Bradford CityBradford | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 1 | 11 |
14 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 9 |
16 | Salford City | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 9 |
17 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 9 |
18 | Bromley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 8 |
19 | MK Dons | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 8 |
20 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 7 |
21 | Swindon TownSwindon | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 6 |
22 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 6 |
23 | Morecambe | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3 |
24 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 16 | -8 | 3 |
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