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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wrexham win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 31.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wrexham win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6.71%). The likeliest Salford City win was 2-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Salford City | Draw | Wrexham |
31.23% ( -1.55) | 23.74% ( -0.5) | 45.02% ( 2.04) |
Both teams to score 60.7% ( 1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.83% ( 1.74) | 41.16% ( -1.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.44% ( 1.74) | 63.55% ( -1.75) |
Salford City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.52% ( -0.1) | 25.47% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.69% ( -0.14) | 60.3% ( 0.13) |
Wrexham Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.44% ( 1.58) | 18.55% ( -1.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.19% ( 2.6) | 49.8% ( -2.61) |
Score Analysis |
Salford City | Draw | Wrexham |
2-1 @ 7.45% ( -0.26) 1-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.55) 2-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.39) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.02% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.23% | 1-1 @ 10.88% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.38) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.1) Other @ 0.25% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.17) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 6.71% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.34) 0-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.26) 2-3 @ 3.52% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 2.17% ( 0.24) 0-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.18) 2-4 @ 1.48% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.51% Total : 45.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Port Vale | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 33 |
2 | Crewe AlexandraCrewe | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 13 | 6 | 28 |
3 | Doncaster RoversDoncaster | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 28 |
4 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 27 | 15 | 12 | 27 |
5 | MK Dons | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
6 | Notts County | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 23 | 15 | 8 | 27 |
7 | Grimsby Town | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 25 |
8 | Bradford CityBradford | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 23 |
9 | Gillingham | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 12 | 4 | 23 |
10 | AFC Wimbledon | 13 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 22 |
11 | Chesterfield | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 22 |
12 | BarrowBarrow | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 22 |
13 | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 21 |
14 | Salford City | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 18 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Newport CountyNewport | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 26 | -7 | 20 |
16 | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
17 | Harrogate TownHarrogate | 16 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Accrington StanleyAccrington | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 24 | -4 | 17 |
19 | Tranmere RoversTranmere | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 17 | -7 | 17 |
20 | Bromley | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 19 | -2 | 16 |
21 | Colchester UnitedColchester | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 14 |
22 | Swindon TownSwindon | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 13 |
23 | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 16 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 29 | -15 | 12 |
24 | Morecambe | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 10 |
> League Two Full Table |