EFL Trophy | Group Stage

Oct 10, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
5 - 1
Gillingham

Anjorin (11'), Stevenson (50'), Yengi (54'), Kamara (72'), Towler (80')
Towler (47')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Williams (45')
Jefferies (25'), Ogie (37'), Orji (53')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the EFL Trophy Group Stage clash between Portsmouth and Gillingham.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-0 Port Vale
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gillingham

All competitions

EFL Trophy

Last Game: Gillingham 2-1 MK Dons
Saturday, October 7 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 58.91%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Gillingham had a probability of 18.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.11%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Gillingham win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Gillingham
58.91% ( 0.03)	22.96% ( -0.01)	18.13% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 48.7% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.87% (

0.03)

50.13% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.9% (

0.03)

72.09% (

-0.03)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.3% (

0.02)

16.69% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.42% (

0.04)

46.57% (

-0.04)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.46% (

-0)

41.53% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.97% (

-0)

78.03% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 58.91%

Gillingham 18.13%

Draw 22.95%

Portsmouth	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 12.41% 2-0 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.83% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.15% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.9% Total : 58.91%	1-1 @ 10.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 22.95%	0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 4.79% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.13%