MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 14:58:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Mar 18, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
3 - 0
Pumas

Vega (14'), Volpi (36' pen.), Dominguez (77')
Baeza (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lopez (39'), Silva (40'), Suarez (64')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Toluca
Saturday, March 9 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Pumas 3-3 Tijuana
Sunday, March 10 at 6pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 19.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Pumas win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawPumas
58.81% (0.294 0.29) 21.44% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 19.75% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 56.48% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.79% (-0.297 -0.3)41.21% (0.3 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.4% (-0.303 -0.3)63.6% (0.306 0.31)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.29% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)13.71% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.05% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)40.94% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.45% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)34.55% (0.445 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.73% (-0.475 -0.48)71.27% (0.47800000000001 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 58.81%
    Pumas 19.75%
    Draw 21.44%
TolucaDrawPumas
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.35% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.2% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 58.81%
1-1 @ 10% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.065 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 5.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 19.75%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 4am
Gameweek 4
Pumas
1-1
Toluca
Huerta (24')
Huerta (81'), Alcala (90+10'), Gutierrez (90+14'), Trigos (90+5'), Caicedo (90+5')
Dominguez (15')
Baeza (38'), Belmonte (81'), Pinuelas (90+7')
Pinuelas (90+10')
Aug 19, 2023 4am
Gameweek 4
Pumas
1-1
Toluca
Huerta (24')
Huerta (81'), Alcala (90+10'), Gutierrez (90+14'), Trigos (90+5'), Caicedo (90+5')
Dominguez (15')
Baeza (38'), Belmonte (81'), Pinuelas (90+7')
Pinuelas (90+10')
Apr 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 15
Pumas
3-1
Toluca
Dinenno (1'), Huerta (38'), Salvio (44' pen.)
Gonzalez (31' pen.)
Sep 11, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 14
Toluca
2-2
Pumas
Jan 11, 2022 3am
Gameweek 1
Pumas
5-0
Toluca
Rogerio (31', 64'), Diogo (61'), Ruvalcaba (69'), Meritao (81')
Diogo (59'), Ortiz (75'), Talavera (77')

Rodriguez (38'), Sartiaguin (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1513113692740
2TolucaToluca1595133141932
3Tigres159332213930
4MonterreyMonterrey168442418628
5Atletico San Luis158252518726
6PumasPumas157441813525
7Club TijuanaTijuana157442123-225
8Club AmericaAmerica157352516924
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara156452214822
10Atlas155551521-620
11Club Leon153842021-117
12PueblaPuebla1642101629-1314
13NecaxaNecaxa153481925-613
14PachucaPachuca153481926-713
15MazatlanMazatlan152761018-813
16Juarez1541102035-1513
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna152491025-1510
18QueretaroQueretaro1523101027-179
> Liga MX Full Table


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