MX23RW : Monday, November 25 14:03:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Mar 18, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez

Toluca
3 - 0
Pumas

Vega (14'), Volpi (36' pen.), Dominguez (77')
Baeza (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lopez (39'), Silva (40'), Suarez (64')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pumas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toluca

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Toluca
Saturday, March 9 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Pumas

All competitions
Last Game: Pumas 3-3 Tijuana
Sunday, March 10 at 6pm in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 19.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Pumas win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.

Result
TolucaDrawPumas
58.81% (0.294 0.29) 21.44% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 19.75% (-0.271 -0.27)
Both teams to score 56.48% (-0.384 -0.38)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.79% (-0.297 -0.3)41.21% (0.3 0.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.4% (-0.303 -0.3)63.6% (0.306 0.31)
Toluca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.29% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)13.71% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.05% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)40.94% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.45% (-0.44200000000001 -0.44)34.55% (0.445 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.73% (-0.475 -0.48)71.27% (0.47800000000001 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Toluca 58.81%
    Pumas 19.75%
    Draw 21.44%
TolucaDrawPumas
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.41% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 9.35% (0.12 0.12)
3-1 @ 6.58% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 6.2% (0.078 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.5% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 3.08% (0.038 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.021 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.3%
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 58.81%
1-1 @ 10% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.74% (0.065 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.44%
1-2 @ 5.32% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-1 @ 5.03% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 0.95% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 19.75%

Head to Head
Aug 19, 2023 4am
Gameweek 4
Pumas
1-1
Toluca
Huerta (24')
Huerta (81'), Alcala (90+10'), Gutierrez (90+14'), Trigos (90+5'), Caicedo (90+5')
Dominguez (15')
Baeza (38'), Belmonte (81'), Pinuelas (90+7')
Pinuelas (90+10')
Aug 19, 2023 4am
Gameweek 4
Pumas
1-1
Toluca
Huerta (24')
Huerta (81'), Alcala (90+10'), Gutierrez (90+14'), Trigos (90+5'), Caicedo (90+5')
Dominguez (15')
Baeza (38'), Belmonte (81'), Pinuelas (90+7')
Pinuelas (90+10')
Apr 16, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 15
Pumas
3-1
Toluca
Dinenno (1'), Huerta (38'), Salvio (44' pen.)
Gonzalez (31' pen.)
Sep 11, 2022 3.05am
Gameweek 14
Toluca
2-2
Pumas
Jan 11, 2022 3am
Gameweek 1
Pumas
5-0
Toluca
Rogerio (31', 64'), Diogo (61'), Ruvalcaba (69'), Meritao (81')
Diogo (59'), Ortiz (75'), Talavera (77')

Rodriguez (38'), Sartiaguin (53')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul17133139122742
2TolucaToluca17105238162235
3Tigres17104325151034
4PumasPumas179442113831
5MonterreyMonterrey179442619731
6Atletico San Luis179352719830
7Club TijuanaTijuana178542425-129
8Club AmericaAmerica178362721627
9CD GuadalajaraGuadalajara177462415925
10Atlas175751723-622
11Club Leon173952123-218
12Juarez1752102236-1417
13NecaxaNecaxa173682026-615
14MazatlanMazatlan172871019-914
15PueblaPuebla1742111731-1414
16PachucaPachuca1734102029-913
17QueretaroQueretaro1733111331-1812
18Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1724111230-1810
> Liga MX Full Table


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