Liga MX | Gameweek 12
Mar 18, 2024 at 1am UK
Estadio Nemesio Diez
Toluca3 - 0Pumas
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Toluca and Pumas.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 58.81%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Pumas had a probability of 19.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Pumas win it was 1-2 (5.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Toluca would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Toluca | Draw | Pumas |
58.81% ( 0.29) | 21.44% ( -0.02) | 19.75% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.79% ( -0.3) | 41.21% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.4% ( -0.3) | 63.6% ( 0.31) |
| Toluca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.29% ( -0) | 13.71% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.05% ( -0.02) | 40.94% ( 0.02) |
| Pumas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.45% ( -0.44) | 34.55% ( 0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.73% ( -0.48) | 71.27% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
Toluca 58.81%
Pumas 19.75%
Draw 21.44%
| Toluca | Draw | Pumas |
| 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.41% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 6.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 6.2% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 3.27% ( 0)4-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 1.3% 5-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.23% Total : 58.81% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.06)0-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.67% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.03% Total : 19.75% |
