Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Aug 23, 2023 at 4.06am UK
Estadio Olimpico Benito Juarez
Juarez4 - 1Pumas
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Juarez and Pumas.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Guadalajara
Saturday, August 19 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Saturday, August 19 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pumas 1-1 Toluca
Saturday, August 19 at 4am in Liga MX
Saturday, August 19 at 4am in Liga MX
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 38.25%. A win for Pumas had a probability of 35.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Pumas win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Juarez would win this match.
Result | ||
Juarez | Draw | Pumas |
38.25% ( -0.62) | 25.83% ( -0.1) | 35.91% ( 0.71) |
Both teams to score 54.76% ( 0.42) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.52% ( 0.51) | 49.47% ( -0.52) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.48% ( 0.45) | 71.51% ( -0.46) |
Juarez Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.66% ( -0.1) | 25.33% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.88% ( -0.14) | 60.11% ( 0.13) |
Pumas Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.34% ( 0.66) | 26.65% ( -0.67) |