Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juarez win with a probability of 40.04%. A win for Queretaro had a probability of 32.04% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juarez win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.22%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Queretaro win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juarez in this match.
