Queretaro

0 - 1

Toluca

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Toluca win with a probability of 56.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Queretaro had a probability of 20.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Toluca win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Queretaro win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Toluca in this match.