Liga MX | Gameweek 3

Jul 16, 2023 at 4.05am UK

Estadio Universitario de Nuevo Leon

Tigres
1 - 0
Club Leon

Gignac (9')
Samir (32'), Pizarro (41'), Gignac (72')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hernandez (30'), Frias (72'), Fernandez (90+6')
Rubio (90+11')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Liga MX clash between Tigres and Club Leon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Tigres

All competitions

Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Tigres
Sunday, July 9 at 1.06am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Top scorers

Club Leon

All competitions

Liga MX

Last Game: Club Leon 4-0 Pachuca
Tuesday, July 11 at 3am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Neither team has been defensively solid of late so we are expecting goals at both ends here. That said, we just about fancy Tigres to see off the threat of Club Leon and come away with a narrow triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 56.34%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Club Leon had a probability of 19.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.88%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a Club Leon win it was 0-1 (6.76%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tigres in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Tigres.

Result
Tigres	Draw	Club Leon
56.34% ( -0.07)	24.08% ( 0.03)	19.57% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 47.81% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.4% (

-0.09)

52.6% (

0.08)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.75% (

-0.07)

74.25% (

0.07)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.48% (

-0.06)

18.52% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.25% (

-0.1)

49.75% (

0.09)

Club Leon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.67% (

-0.01)

41.32% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.15% (

-0.01)

77.84% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Tigres 56.34%

Club Leon 19.57%

Draw 24.08%

Tigres	Draw	Club Leon
1-0 @ 12.9% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.88% 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 56.34%	1-1 @ 11.4% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0) Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.08%	0-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.48% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 19.57%