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Angers
AJ Auxerre
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Le Havre
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Lille
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Rennes
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Ligue 1
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 4, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
AJ Auxerre

Troyes
1 - 1
Auxerre

Lopes (28')
Salmier (17'), Ripart (72')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Perrin (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Auxerre, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: PSG 4-3 Troyes
Saturday, October 29 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Auxerre

All competitions
Last Game: Auxerre 1-0 Ajaccio
Sunday, October 30 at 12pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 1-1 Auxerre

 As the standings indicate, these are two evenly-matched teams, though Troyes might have a little more quality in the attack. Auxerre looked sharp along the backline last weekend, and we expect them to hold firm on Friday, as the message from their new boss seems to be resonating early on. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Auxerre had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for an Auxerre win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
TroyesDrawAuxerre
54.79% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03) 22.92% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 22.29% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 55.35% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.46% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)44.54% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.09% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)66.91% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.85% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)16.15% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.41% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)45.59% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Auxerre Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.01% (0.018999999999991 0.02)33.99% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.33% (0.02 0.02)70.67% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 54.78%
    Auxerre 22.29%
    Draw 22.92%
TroyesDrawAuxerre
1-0 @ 10% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 9.13% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.98% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 5.55% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.23%
4-1 @ 2.73% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.53% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
5-0 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 54.78%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-2 @ 5.31% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.92%
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.2% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 2.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 22.29%

How you voted: Troyes vs Auxerre

Troyes
67.6%
Draw
22.5%
Auxerre
9.8%
102
Head to Head
Jan 30, 2021 2pm
Troyes
3-1
Auxerre
Dingome (28'), Raveloson (75'), Gory (90')
Gallon (80'), Salmier (90+3')
Fortune (79')
Coeff (69')
Sep 21, 2020 7.45pm
Auxerre
2-1
Troyes
N'Gando (37'), Le Bihan (59')
Arcus (61')
Touzghar (90+1')
Tardieu (79'), Salmier (88'), Lumeka (90+4')
Feb 24, 2020 7.45pm
Troyes
3-1
Auxerre
Tchimbembe (29', 65'), Bedia (37')
Tardieu (26'), Giraudon (45')
N'Gando (44')
Michel (45'), Sylvestre (83')
Toure (44')
Sep 20, 2019 7pm
Auxerre
1-2
Troyes
Yattara (25')
Bellugou (22')
Le Bihan (44')
Tardieu (5'), Bedia (92')
Salmier (45'), Barthelme (60'), Giraudon (66'), Kouyate (70'), Gallon (95')
Mar 1, 2019 7pm
Auxerre
0-2
Troyes

Van Boto (10')
Mbeumo (12'), Touzghar (43')
Mbeumo (31')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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