Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Auxerre had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.84%). The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Lens |
30.51% ( -0) | 26.96% ( -0) | 42.53% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 49.75% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.74% ( 0.02) | 55.25% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.52% ( 0.01) | 76.48% ( -0.01) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.96% ( 0) | 33.04% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.37% ( 0) | 69.63% ( -0) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.3% ( 0.01) | 25.7% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.38% ( 0.02) | 60.62% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.51% | 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.95% | 0-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 17 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 46 | 15 | 31 | 43 |
2 | Marseille | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 39 | 20 | 19 | 36 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 28 | 18 | 10 | 31 |
4 | Nice | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 30 |
5 | Lille | 17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 29 |
6 | Lyon | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 28 |
7 | Lens | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 16 | 5 | 27 |
8 | Toulouse | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 24 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 1 | 23 |
10 | Auxerre | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 22 |
11 | Brest | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 22 |
12 | Reims | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 20 |
13 | Angers | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 27 | -8 | 19 |
14 | Rennes | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
15 | NantesNantes | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 27 | -7 | 16 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 17 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 16 | 37 | -21 | 16 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 17 | 4 | 0 | 13 | 13 | 36 | -23 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 17 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |