Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Dec 14, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade de l'Abbe Deschamps
We said: Auxerre 1-1 Lens
It may have been a while since Lens' peculiar drawing streak, but this is a very tough game to call on paper, with little to separate the sides in the table, and the hosts enjoying a superb run of form at home.
Four games without a win in this fixture suggests it will be far from easy for the hosts to maintain that incredible home record across 2024, but they are more than capable of getting a result.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 42.53% . A win for Auxerre had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 27% .
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.84%) . The likeliest Auxerre win was 1-0 (9.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%) . The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result Auxerre Draw Lens 30.51% ( -0) 26.96% ( -0) 42.53% ( 0.01)
Both teams to score 49.75% ( 0.01)
44.74% ( 0.02) 55.25% ( -0.01)
23.52% ( 0.01) 76.48% ( -0.01)
66.96% ( 0) 33.04% ( -0)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 30.37% ( 0) 69.63% ( -0)
74.3% ( 0.01) 25.7% ( -0.01)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 39.38% ( 0.02) 60.62% ( -0.01)
Auxerre 30.51%
Lens 42.52%
Draw 26.95%
Auxerre Draw Lens 1-0 @ 9.4% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.07% 2-0 @ 5.21% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.61% 3-0 @ 1.92% 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 30.51% 1-1 @ 12.77% 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.95% 0-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.84% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.93% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 42.52%
How you voted: Auxerre vs Lens
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rhs 2.0
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