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Ligue 1
PSG logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2024 at 4pm UK
Parc des Princes
Lens logo

PSG
1 - 0
Lens

Dembele (4')
Marquinhos (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Khusanov (45+1'), Still (45+5'), Gradit (47'), Diouf (62'), Danso (86')
Khusanov (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Marseille 0-3 PSG
Sunday, October 27 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: Lens 0-2 Lille
Saturday, October 26 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Lens

 PSG's incapability of keeping a clean sheet at home will give Lens belief that they have a chance, but the scoring record of the league leaders speaks for itself so far, having netted three or more in all of their home games. Despite Lens' excellent defensive record, facing the champions is like no other test in Ligue 1, and manager Still will need to hope his attackers are firing if they are to take anything here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Lens had a probability of 20.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Lens win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLens
58.34% (0.148 0.15) 21.49% (-0.108 -0.11) 20.17% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 57.02% (0.323 0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.17% (0.45 0.45)40.83% (-0.449 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.78% (0.45999999999999 0.46)63.22% (-0.458 -0.46)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.27% (0.19600000000001 0.2)13.73% (-0.195 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.01% (0.382 0.38)40.99% (-0.38 -0.38)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.09% (0.22499999999999 0.22)33.91% (-0.22300000000001 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.42% (0.24 0.24)70.58% (-0.238 -0.24)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 58.34%
    Lens 20.17%
    Draw 21.49%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawLens
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-0 @ 9.24% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-0 @ 9.18% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
3-1 @ 6.57% (0.044 0.04)
3-0 @ 6.08% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 3.55% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.26% (0.045 0.04)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.023 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.76% (0.035 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.3% (0.026 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.2% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 58.34%
1-1 @ 10% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.37% (0.03 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.66% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 21.49%
1-2 @ 5.41% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
0-1 @ 5.03% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-2 @ 2.72% (-0.023 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.01 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.94% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.98% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 20.17%

How you voted: PSG vs Lens

Paris Saint-Germain
86.0%
Draw
11.6%
Lens
2.3%
86
Head to Head
Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Lens
0-2
PSG

Gradit (45+3')
Barcola (30'), Mbappe (89')
Soler (52')
> Preview
Aug 26, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 3
PSG
3-1
Lens
Asensio (44'), Mbappe (52', 90')
Guilavogui (90+5')
Medina (19'), Haise (31'), Sotoca (42'), Spierings (79'), Machado (82'), Gradit (87')
> Preview
Apr 15, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 31
PSG
3-1
Lens
Mbappe (31'), Vitinha (37'), Messi (40')
Frankowski (60' pen.)
> Match Report
Jan 1, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 17
Lens
3-1
PSG
Frankowski (5'), Openda (28'), Claude-Maurice (47')
Ekitike (8')
> Preview
Apr 23, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 34
PSG
1-1
Lens
Messi (68')
Ramos (54'), Verratti (73'), Marquinhos (78'), Neymar (90')
Jean (88')
Danso (9')
Danso (57')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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