PSG1 - 0Lens
We said: Paris Saint-Germain 3-1 Lens
PSG's incapability of keeping a clean sheet at home will give Lens belief that they have a chance, but the scoring record of the league leaders speaks for itself so far, having netted three or more in all of their home games. Despite Lens' excellent defensive record, facing the champions is like no other test in Ligue 1, and manager Still will need to hope his attackers are firing if they are to take anything here. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 58.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Lens had a probability of 20.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.24%) and 2-0 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Lens win it was 1-2 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
58.34% ( 0.15) | 21.49% ( -0.11) | 20.17% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.02% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.17% ( 0.45) | 40.83% ( -0.45) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.78% ( 0.46) | 63.22% ( -0.46) |
| Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.27% ( 0.2) | 13.73% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 59.01% ( 0.38) | 40.99% ( -0.38) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.09% ( 0.22) | 33.91% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 29.42% ( 0.24) | 70.58% ( -0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Paris Saint-Germain | Draw | Lens |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.24% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 6.57% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 3.26% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 3.02% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.26% Total : 58.34% | 1-1 @ 10% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 4.66% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.19% Total : 21.49% | 1-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.03% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.95% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 20.17% |
