Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Ferdi Petit
Lens3 - 2Nantes
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
12
We said: Lens 0-0 Nantes
Lens have been very strong at the back, but offer little threat in attack, and that could be costly here in a game they are expected to win. Kombouare is under pressure, but has only lost one of his 12 matches against his former employers as a manager, and while an elusive win may be beyond them, they could take something here against a feeble Lens side. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Nantes |
57.53% ( 0.32) | 23.72% ( -0.04) | 18.75% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( -0.37) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.74% ( -0.25) | 52.25% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.04% ( -0.21) | 73.95% ( 0.21) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.05% ( 0.03) | 17.95% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.21% ( 0.05) | 48.78% ( -0.05) |
| Nantes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.94% ( -0.47) | 42.05% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 21.52% ( -0.41) | 78.48% ( 0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 57.52%
Nantes 18.75%
Draw 23.71%
| Lens | Draw | Nantes |
| 1-0 @ 12.96% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 11.13% ( 0.13)2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.38% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 5.52% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.74% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 2.39% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.37% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.42% Total : 57.52% | 1-1 @ 11.23% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.76% Total : 23.71% | 0-1 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.91% Total : 18.75% |
How you voted: Lens vs Nantes
Lens
47.6%Draw
47.6%Nantes
4.8%21
Head to Head
Oct 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Lens
4-0
Nantes
Mar 1, 2023 5.15pm
Feb 19, 2023 4.05pm
Sep 18, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 8
Nantes
0-0
Lens
