MX23RW : Wednesday, December 18 02:12:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Ligue 1 header desktop

Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 at 6pm UK
Stade Ferdi Petit
Nantes

Lens
3 - 2
Nantes

Frankowski (21' pen.), Ojediran (86'), Thomasson (90')
Medina (35'), Labeau (45+5')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Simon (36' pen.), Cozza (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Nantes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: PSG 1-0 Lens
Saturday, November 2 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Nantes

All competitions
Last Game: Nantes 1-2 Marseille
Sunday, November 3 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lens 0-0 Nantes

 Lens have been very strong at the back, but offer little threat in attack, and that could be costly here in a game they are expected to win. Kombouare is under pressure, but has only lost one of his 12 matches against his former employers as a manager, and while an elusive win may be beyond them, they could take something here against a feeble Lens side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.53%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 18.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.13%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (6.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.

Result
LensDrawNantes
57.53% (0.319 0.32) 23.72% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04) 18.75% (-0.288 -0.29)
Both teams to score 47.54% (-0.37 -0.37)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.74% (-0.246 -0.25)52.25% (0.244 0.24)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (-0.213 -0.21)73.95% (0.20999999999999 0.21)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.05% (0.027000000000001 0.03)17.95% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.21% (0.046999999999997 0.05)48.78% (-0.050000000000004 -0.05)
Nantes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.94% (-0.47199999999999 -0.47)42.05% (0.469 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.52% (-0.412 -0.41)78.48% (0.408 0.41)
Score Analysis
    Lens 57.52%
    Nantes 18.75%
    Draw 23.71%
LensDrawNantes
1-0 @ 12.96% (0.13 0.13)
2-0 @ 11.13% (0.13 0.13)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-0 @ 6.38% (0.079 0.08)
3-1 @ 5.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.74% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.39% (-0.033 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.37% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
5-0 @ 0.94% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 57.52%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.072 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 23.71%
0-1 @ 6.54% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.86% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-2 @ 2.83% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 1.4% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 18.75%

How you voted: Lens vs Nantes

Lens
47.6%
Draw
47.6%
Nantes
4.8%
21
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 20
Nantes
0-1
Lens

Kadewere (27'), Douglas (61')
Costa (48')
Aguilar (81'), Danso (82')
> Preview
Oct 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 10
Lens
4-0
Nantes
Sotoca (27' pen., 72' pen.), Medina (58'), El Aynaoui (89')
Wahi (68')

Comert (68'), Duverne (83')
> Preview
Mar 1, 2023 5.15pm
Quarter-Finals
Nantes
2-1
Lens
Delort (31' pen., 59' pen.)
Fofana (28')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 24
Lens
3-1
Nantes
Machado (34'), Thomasson (36'), Traore (74' og.)
Mollet (40')
> Preview
Sep 18, 2022 4.05pm
Gameweek 8
Nantes
0-0
Lens
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG15114040122837
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1593324121230
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!