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Ligue 1
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Ferdi Petit
Lille

Lens
0 - 2
Lille


Thomasson (13'), Tony Pouilly (65'), Gradit (86'), N'Zola (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
David (90+8' pen.), Bayo (90+11')
Gudmundsson (20'), Meunier (75'), Mandi (89'), David (90+2'), David (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last Game: St Etienne 0-2 Lens
Saturday, October 19 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Lille

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Atletico 1-3 Lille
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lens 1-1 Lille

 Lens have not managed to find the back of the net in their last two Ligue 1 home games, but facing a leggy and injury-ravaged Lille side might be the hosts' ticket to halting that toothless streak in front of goal. However, one trend we cannot see ending is the hosts' propensity to play out draws, as Genesio's men have been steadily building momentum over the past few weeks and should be good enough to avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Lille had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawLille
47.6% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 25.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.67% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.09% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.6% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)52.4% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)74.08% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)22.02% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)55.34% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)71.2% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Lens 47.6%
    Lille 26.67%
    Draw 25.73%
LensDrawLille
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.6%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 26.67%

How you voted: Lens vs Lille

Lens
33.0%
Draw
30.9%
Lille
36.1%
97
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Lille
2-1
Lens
Zhegrova (9', 60')
Andre (52'), Zhegrova (64'), Bentaleb (88')
Wahi (78')
Medina (35'), Wahi (64'), Costa (88')
> Preview
Oct 8, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 8
Lens
1-1
Lille
Machado (70')
Medina (17'), Haise (56'), Wahi (81')
Andre (45+3')
Cavaleiro (20'), Alexsandro (68'), Gomes (82'), Yoro (90')
> Preview
Mar 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 26
Lens
1-1
Lille
Fonte (41' og.)
David (69')
> Preview
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lille
1-0
Lens
David (44' pen.)
> Preview
Apr 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Lille
1-2
Lens
Xeka (45+1')
Xeka (18'), David (29'), Sanches (45+2')
Frankowski (4'), Kalimuendo (37')
Gradit (45+2'), Cahuzac (90')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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