MX23RW : Wednesday, January 22 04:14:48| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lens logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Ferdi Petit
Lille

Lens
0 - 2
Lille


Thomasson (13'), Tony Pouilly (65'), Gradit (86'), N'Zola (90+10')
FT(HT: 0-0)
David (90+8' pen.), Bayo (90+11')
Gudmundsson (20'), Meunier (75'), Mandi (89'), David (90+2'), David (90+9')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Lens and Lille, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Etienne 0-2 Lens
Saturday, October 19 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Atletico 1-3 Lille
Wednesday, October 23 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Lens 1-1 Lille

Lens have not managed to find the back of the net in their last two Ligue 1 home games, but facing a leggy and injury-ravaged Lille side might be the hosts' ticket to halting that toothless streak in front of goal. However, one trend we cannot see ending is the hosts' propensity to play out draws, as Genesio's men have been steadily building momentum over the past few weeks and should be good enough to avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Lille had a probability of 26.67% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.26%) and 2-0 (8.7%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
LensDrawLille
47.6% (-0.069000000000003 -0.07) 25.73% (0.024999999999999 0.02) 26.67% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Both teams to score 51.09% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.6% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)52.4% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.92% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)74.08% (0.064000000000007 0.06)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.98% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)22.02% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.66% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)55.34% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.51% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.49% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.8% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)71.2% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Lens 47.6%
    Lille 26.67%
    Draw 25.73%
LensDrawLille
1-0 @ 11.49% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.67% (-0.013000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.39% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.49% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.77% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.66% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 47.6%
1-1 @ 12.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.59% (0.022 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.93% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 25.73%
0-1 @ 8.08% (0.022 0.02)
1-2 @ 6.51% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.3% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.53% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 26.67%

How you voted: Lens vs Lille

Lens
33.0%
Draw
30.9%
Lille
36.1%
97
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 27
Lille
2-1
Lens
Zhegrova (9', 60')
Andre (52'), Zhegrova (64'), Bentaleb (88')
Wahi (78')
Medina (35'), Wahi (64'), Costa (88')
Oct 8, 2023 4.05pm
Gameweek 8
Lens
1-1
Lille
Machado (70')
Medina (17'), Haise (56'), Wahi (81')
Andre (45+3')
Cavaleiro (20'), Alexsandro (68'), Gomes (82'), Yoro (90')
Mar 4, 2023 4pm
Gameweek 26
Lens
1-1
Lille
Fonte (41' og.)
David (69')
Oct 9, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Lille
1-0
Lens
David (44' pen.)
Apr 16, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 32
Lille
1-2
Lens
Xeka (45+1')
Xeka (18'), David (29'), Sanches (45+2')
Frankowski (4'), Kalimuendo (37')
Gradit (45+2'), Cahuzac (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG18144048163246
2Marseille18114340211937
3Lille1888228171132
4MonacoMonaco189452920931
5Nice1886436251130
6Lyon188552922729
7Lens187652218427
8Toulouse187471919025
9Brest188192831-325
10StrasbourgStrasbourg186663130124
11Auxerre186482428-422
12Angers186482127-622
13Reims185672426-221
14Rennes1852112427-317
15NantesNantes183872128-717
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1852111738-2117
17Le HavreLe Havre1841131437-2313
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1833121843-2512


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!