Ligue 1 | Gameweek 12
Nov 23, 2024 at 4pm UK
Stade Bollaert-Delelis
Lens1 - 3Marseille
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Lens 3-2 Nantes
Saturday, November 9 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Saturday, November 9 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
12
Last Game: Marseille 1-3 Auxerre
Friday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Friday, November 8 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Goals
for
for
24
We said: Lens 1-2 Marseille
Lens have not looked the most convincing in recent weeks, falling to consecutive defeats and only getting over the line very late against Nantes. The home side's defence has looked less secure recently with many absentees, and a potent Marseille attack that has loved playing away from home this season could take advantage. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 40.55%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 33.75% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.7%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Marseille |
40.55% ( -0.03) | 25.7% ( 0.06) | 33.75% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 54.86% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.8% ( -0.24) | 49.2% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.73% ( -0.22) | 71.27% ( 0.22) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( -0.12) | 24% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.75% ( -0.17) | 58.25% ( 0.18) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.18% ( -0.13) | 27.82% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.58% ( -0.17) | 63.42% ( 0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
Lens 40.55%
Marseille 33.75%
Draw 25.7%
| Lens | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.24% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.93% Total : 40.55% | 1-1 @ 12.19% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.68% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.8% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.75% |
How you voted: Lens vs Marseille
Lens
27.0%Draw
22.0%Marseille
51.0%100
Head to Head
Apr 28, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 31
Marseille
2-1
Lens
Nov 12, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 12
Lens
1-0
Marseille
May 6, 2023 8pm
Oct 22, 2022 8pm
