MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 02:54:27| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Lyon

Troyes
1 - 3
Lyon

Lopes (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barcola (43'), Cherki (59'), Lacazette (90+3')
Tagliafico (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 4-1 Troyes
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Brest
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 0-2 Lyon

Neither side have been particularly sharp this year, but we are giving the edge to the visitors because of how well they have played away from home, along with the quality Lacazette, who has been one of the most consistent finishers in Ligue 1 this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawLyon
17.4% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 20.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 61.79% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.17% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.87% (0.012 0.01)42.13% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (0.011000000000003 0.01)64.53% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35% (0.038000000000004 0.04)37.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.57% (0.038 0.04)74.43% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)13.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.25% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)39.75% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 17.4%
    Lyon 61.78%
    Draw 20.81%
TroyesDrawLyon
1-0 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 4.79% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 17.4%
1-1 @ 9.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.81%
0-2 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-3 @ 6.9% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 3.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-4 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 61.78%

How you voted: Troyes vs Lyon

Troyes
14.0%
Draw
2.3%
Lyon
83.7%
43
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2022 8pm
Lyon
4-1
Troyes
Lacazette (3'), Tagliafico (46'), Tete (49', 75')
Tardieu (39' pen.)
Kouame (51')
Jan 16, 2022 4.05pm
Troyes
0-1
Lyon

Rodrigues (45+3'), Giraudon (65')
Dembele (33' pen.)
Gusto (86')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Lyon
3-1
Troyes
Shaqiri (48'), Palmieri (72'), Paqueta (87')
Paqueta (90+2')
Chavalerin (45')
Azamoum (15'), Giraudon (28'), Biancone (62')
May 6, 2018 3.30pm
Lyon
3-0
Troyes
Traore (28', 35'), Cornet (88')
Tousart (4'), Mendy (78')

Azamoum (20'), Hyun-jun (81')
Oct 22, 2017 4pm
Troyes
0-5
Lyon

Grandsir (19'), Dingome (59')
Herelle (69')
Traore (21'), Depay (49', 66', 70'), Mariano (90')
Morel (16'), Da Silva (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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