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Ligue 1
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Lyon

Troyes
1 - 3
Lyon

Lopes (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barcola (43'), Cherki (59'), Lacazette (90+3')
Tagliafico (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Troyes

All competitions
Last Game: Toulouse 4-1 Troyes
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Brest
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 0-2 Lyon

 Neither side have been particularly sharp this year, but we are giving the edge to the visitors because of how well they have played away from home, along with the quality Lacazette, who has been one of the most consistent finishers in Ligue 1 this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawLyon
17.4% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 20.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 61.79% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.17% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.87% (0.012 0.01)42.13% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (0.011000000000003 0.01)64.53% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35% (0.038000000000004 0.04)37.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.57% (0.038 0.04)74.43% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)13.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.25% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)39.75% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 17.4%
    Lyon 61.78%
    Draw 20.81%
TroyesDrawLyon
1-0 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 4.79% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 17.4%
1-1 @ 9.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.81%
0-2 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-3 @ 6.9% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 3.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-4 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 61.78%

How you voted: Troyes vs Lyon

Troyes
14.0%
Draw
2.3%
Lyon
83.7%
43
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2022 8pm
Lyon
4-1
Troyes
Lacazette (3'), Tagliafico (46'), Tete (49', 75')
Tardieu (39' pen.)
Kouame (51')
Jan 16, 2022 4.05pm
Troyes
0-1
Lyon

Rodrigues (45+3'), Giraudon (65')
Dembele (33' pen.)
Gusto (86')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Lyon
3-1
Troyes
Shaqiri (48'), Palmieri (72'), Paqueta (87')
Paqueta (90+2')
Chavalerin (45')
Azamoum (15'), Giraudon (28'), Biancone (62')
May 6, 2018 3.30pm
Lyon
3-0
Troyes
Traore (28', 35'), Cornet (88')
Tousart (4'), Mendy (78')

Azamoum (20'), Hyun-jun (81')
Oct 22, 2017 4pm
Troyes
0-5
Lyon

Grandsir (19'), Dingome (59')
Herelle (69')
Traore (21'), Depay (49', 66', 70'), Mariano (90')
Morel (16'), Da Silva (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG16124044143040
2Marseille1593332181430
3MonacoMonaco1693426161030
4Lille1576225151027
5Lyon157442720725
6Nice156632819924
7Lens156631914524
8Auxerre156362323021
9Toulouse156361717021
10Reims155552018220
11Brest156182427-319
12Rennes155282020017
13StrasbourgStrasbourg154562527-217
14NantesNantes153571724-714
15Angers153481426-1213
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne1541101234-2213
17Le HavreLe Havre1540111129-1812
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier1523101538-239
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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