MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 10:13:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Troyes
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 22
Feb 4, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade de l'Aube
Lyon

Troyes
1 - 3
Lyon

Lopes (62')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Barcola (43'), Cherki (59'), Lacazette (90+3')
Tagliafico (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Troyes and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Toulouse 4-1 Troyes
Wednesday, February 1 at 6pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lyon 0-0 Brest
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Troyes 0-2 Lyon

Neither side have been particularly sharp this year, but we are giving the edge to the visitors because of how well they have played away from home, along with the quality Lacazette, who has been one of the most consistent finishers in Ligue 1 this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 61.79%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Troyes had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.03%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for a Troyes win it was 1-0 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
TroyesDrawLyon
17.4% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 20.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 61.79% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.17% (0.029999999999994 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.87% (0.012 0.01)42.13% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.47% (0.011000000000003 0.01)64.53% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.35% (0.038000000000004 0.04)37.65% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.57% (0.038 0.04)74.43% (-0.039999999999992 -0.04)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.89% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)13.11% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
60.25% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)39.75% (0.012 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Troyes 17.4%
    Lyon 61.78%
    Draw 20.81%
TroyesDrawLyon
1-0 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-1 @ 4.79% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.36% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.004 0)
3-1 @ 1.56% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 17.4%
1-1 @ 9.8% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-0 @ 4.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.86% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.81%
0-2 @ 10.18% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-1 @ 10.03%
1-2 @ 9.95%
0-3 @ 6.9% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-4 @ 3.51% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-4 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.29% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-4 @ 1.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-5 @ 1.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-5 @ 1.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 61.78%

How you voted: Troyes vs Lyon

Troyes
14.0%
Draw
2.3%
Lyon
83.7%
43
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2022 8pm
Lyon
4-1
Troyes
Lacazette (3'), Tagliafico (46'), Tete (49', 75')
Tardieu (39' pen.)
Kouame (51')
Jan 16, 2022 4.05pm
Troyes
0-1
Lyon

Rodrigues (45+3'), Giraudon (65')
Dembele (33' pen.)
Gusto (86')
Sep 22, 2021 8pm
Lyon
3-1
Troyes
Shaqiri (48'), Palmieri (72'), Paqueta (87')
Paqueta (90+2')
Chavalerin (45')
Azamoum (15'), Giraudon (28'), Biancone (62')
May 6, 2018 3.30pm
Lyon
3-0
Troyes
Traore (28', 35'), Cornet (88')
Tousart (4'), Mendy (78')

Azamoum (20'), Hyun-jun (81')
Oct 22, 2017 4pm
Troyes
0-5
Lyon

Grandsir (19'), Dingome (59')
Herelle (69')
Traore (21'), Depay (49', 66', 70'), Mariano (90')
Morel (16'), Da Silva (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!