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Ligue 1
AC Ajaccio
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 20
Jan 29, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Francois Coty
Lyon

Ajaccio
0 - 2
Lyon


Gonzalez (28'), El Idrissy (53')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Lepenant (20'), Lacazette (71')
Lopes (53'), Kumbedi (56'), Tagliafico (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 2-0 Ajaccio
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Coupe de France

Lyon

All competitions
Ligue 1
Last Game: Chambery 0-3 Lyon
Saturday, January 21 at 2.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Ajaccio 1-2 Lyon

 Lyon will be desperate for three points to try to kick-start a stagnating season, but Ajaccio will be just as determined to move away from trouble. OL won in the reverse fixture back in August despite having keeper Anthony Lopes sent off in the first half. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw had a probability of 24.8% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.1%) and 1-2 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (7.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
AjaccioDrawLyon
21.93% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03) 24.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02) 53.27% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Both teams to score 49.03% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.3% (0.032000000000004 0.03)52.69% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.67% (0.027999999999999 0.03)74.33% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Ajaccio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.09% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)38.91% (0.0089999999999932 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.36% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)75.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.25% (0.028999999999996 0.03)19.74% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.22% (0.048999999999999 0.05)51.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Ajaccio 21.93%
    Lyon 53.26%
    Draw 24.79%
AjaccioDrawLyon
1-0 @ 7.25% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.55% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-1 @ 1.75% (-0.002 -0)
3-2 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.08% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.46%
Total : 21.93%
1-1 @ 11.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.68% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.5%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 24.79%
0-1 @ 12.46%
0-2 @ 10.1%
1-2 @ 9.54% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 5.47% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
1-3 @ 5.16% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-4 @ 2.22% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.09% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-4 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 53.26%

How you voted: Ajaccio vs Lyon

Ajaccio
6.8%
Draw
6.8%
Lyon
86.4%
44
Head to Head
Aug 5, 2022 8pm
Lyon
2-1
Ajaccio
Tete (12'), Lacazette (21' pen.)
Lacazette (33')
Lopes (27')
Mangani (31' pen.)
Avinel (20'), Hamouma (33'), El Idrissy (34'), Diallo (41'), Spadanuda (90+2')
Hamouma (45+3')
Feb 16, 2014 1pm
Lyon
3-1
Ajaccio
Fofana (43'), Briand (68'), Gomis (90')
Ferri (72')
Oliech (81')
Perozo (29'), Tonucci (78')
> Match Report
Sep 25, 2013 6pm
Ajaccio
2-1
Lyon
Arrache (18'), Demba Camara (70')
Goncalves (10'), Arrache (19'), Lasne (53'), Demba Camara (92'), Belghazouani (94'), Grenier (94')
Malbranque (56')
Malbranque (41'), Lacazette (94')
Lacazette (95')
> Match Report
Feb 3, 2013 1pm
Ajaccio
3-1
Lyon
Belghazouani (57'), Mutu (65', 90' pen.)
Mutu (34'), Mostefa (66'), Oliech (89')
Lacazette (53')
Ghezzal (63'), Martial (90')
Lovren (90')
> Match Report
Sep 16, 2012 4pm
Lyon
2-0
Ajaccio
Lovren (25'), López (74')
Grenier (14')

Bouhours (13'), Mutu (69')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG25205070244665
2Marseille25154652302249
3Nice25137549301946
4MonacoMonaco25135749321744
5Lille25128540271344
6Lyon25126746311542
7StrasbourgStrasbourg2511773932740
8Lens2510693029136
9Brest25113113840-236
10Toulouse259793227534
11Auxerre2587103638-231
12Rennes2592143536-129
13Angers2576122640-1427
14NantesNantes2559112843-1524
15Reims2557132640-1422
16Le HavreLe Havre2563162451-2721
17Saint-EtienneSt Etienne2555152557-3220
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier2543182159-3815
> Ligue 1 Full Table


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