Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 11, 2023 at 6pm UK
Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps
We said: Auxerre 1-1 Toulouse
Auxerre are on the hunt for their first league success since October but have a tough assignment against a Toulouse side who are fresh off a 7-1 victory in Coupe de France.
Montanier will have difficult decisions to make regarding team selection after some of his fringe players impressed on Sunday, but he should be able to manage his side to at least a point in this one.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.12% . A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.8% .
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.33%) . The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.92%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%) . The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood .
Result Auxerre Draw Toulouse 38.12% ( -1.03) 25.81% ( -0.02) 36.07% ( 1.06)
Both teams to score 54.87% ( 0.2)
50.65% ( 0.21) 49.34% ( -0.21)
28.6% ( 0.19) 71.39% ( -0.19)
74.65% ( -0.46) 25.34% ( 0.46)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 39.86% ( -0.64) 60.13% ( 0.63)
73.5% ( 0.72) 26.5% ( -0.72)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 38.31% ( 0.95) 61.69% ( -0.95)
Auxerre 38.12%
Toulouse 36.07%
Draw 25.8%
Auxerre Draw Toulouse 1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.12% 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.21% Total : 36.07%
How you voted: Auxerre vs Toulouse
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