Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (8.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Auxerre | Draw | Toulouse |
38.12% ( -1.03) | 25.81% ( -0.02) | 36.07% ( 1.06) |
Both teams to score 54.87% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.65% ( 0.21) | 49.34% ( -0.21) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.6% ( 0.19) | 71.39% ( -0.19) |
Auxerre Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.65% ( -0.46) | 25.34% ( 0.46) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.86% ( -0.64) | 60.13% ( 0.63) |
Toulouse Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.5% ( 0.72) | 26.5% ( -0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.31% ( 0.95) | 61.69% ( -0.95) |
Score Analysis |
Auxerre | Draw | Toulouse |
1-0 @ 9.22% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.4% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.14) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.57% Total : 38.12% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.72% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 3.6% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.14) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.06) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.21% Total : 36.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |