MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 12:18:24| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lyon
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23
Feb 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stade de Gerland
Lens logo

Lyon
2 - 1
Lens

Lacazette (23'), Cherki (64')
Lukeba (14')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Machado (39')
Abdul Samed (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Lens, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lyon 2-2 Lille (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, February 8 at 5.15pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Lorient 1-1 Lens (2-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 9 at 8pm in Coupe de France

We said: Lyon 1-1 Lens

Lyon look as though they are turning a corner with Blanc in charge, but they must claim a first league win at home since October sooner rather than later. Lens have lost all momentum that was carrying them towards a title charge at the start of January and need to ensure they do not allow the sides below them to close the gap even more. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 38.12%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 36.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-0 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
LyonDrawLens
36.43% (-0.269 -0.27) 25.45% (-0.158 -0.16) 38.12% (0.427 0.43)
Both teams to score 56.13% (0.534 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.25% (0.692 0.69)47.74% (-0.693 -0.69)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.06% (0.634 0.63)69.94% (-0.63499999999999 -0.63)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.45% (0.17 0.17)25.54% (-0.172 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.59% (0.232 0.23)60.4% (-0.233 -0.23)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.38% (0.54600000000001 0.55)24.61% (-0.547 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.88% (0.761 0.76)59.12% (-0.761 -0.76)
Score Analysis
    Lyon 36.43%
    Lens 38.12%
    Draw 25.44%
LyonDrawLens
1-0 @ 8.58% (-0.206 -0.21)
2-1 @ 8.21% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.86% (-0.112 -0.11)
3-1 @ 3.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.66% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.046 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.27% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 36.43%
1-1 @ 12.02% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.29% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.072 0.07)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.81% (-0.114 -0.11)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
0-2 @ 6.18% (0.018 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.94% (0.092 0.09)
0-3 @ 2.89% (0.054 0.05)
2-3 @ 2.69% (0.076 0.08)
1-4 @ 1.38% (0.054 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.01% (0.035 0.04)
2-4 @ 0.94% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 38.12%

How you voted: Lyon vs Lens

Lyon
48.2%
Draw
36.6%
Lens
15.2%
112
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 19, 2022 4pm
Lens
1-1
Lyon
Clauss (13')
Kadewere (44')
Palmieri (70'), Dubois (84')
Oct 30, 2021 8pm
Lyon
2-1
Lens
Toko Ekambi (25' pen.), Aouar (41')
Paqueta (10')
Kalimuendo (61')
Sotoca (38'), Clauss (54')
Apr 3, 2021 8pm
Lens
1-1
Lyon
Clauss (65')
Fortes (6'), Sotoca (70'), Michelin (87')
Paqueta (81')
Guimaraes (7'), Depay (48'), De Sciglio (79')
Slimani (90')
Jan 6, 2021 8pm
Lyon
3-2
Lens
Depay (39', 52' pen.), Fortes (46' og.)
Aouar (40')
Sotoca (56'), Doucoure (89')
Leca (51'), Bade (85')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


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