Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.2%. A win for Brest had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (6.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Brest |
53.2% ( 0) | 23.29% ( -0) | 23.52% |
Both teams to score 55.7% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.18% ( 0) | 44.82% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.83% ( 0) | 67.17% ( -0) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.19% | 16.81% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.21% | 46.79% ( -0) |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.96% | 33.04% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.37% | 69.63% |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 9.91% 2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 8.83% 3-1 @ 5.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.25% 3-2 @ 3.22% 4-1 @ 2.59% 4-0 @ 2.34% 4-2 @ 1.44% 5-1 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.11% Total : 53.2% | 1-1 @ 10.96% 0-0 @ 5.56% 2-2 @ 5.42% 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.28% | 0-1 @ 6.15% 1-2 @ 6.07% 0-2 @ 3.41% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2% 0-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.39% Total : 23.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |