MX23RW : Friday, November 22 01:01:32| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Brest logo

Lille
1 - 0
Brest

Yazici (6')
Andre (45+4'), Arnar Haraldsson (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Le Douaron (41'), Camblan (79'), Brahimi (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 1-1 Lille
Sunday, October 8 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Toulouse
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-0 Brest

Barring their surprise defeat at the hands of Reims a few weeks back, Lille are almost always the favourites when they step out onto familiar territory, but injuries and suspensions will threaten their chances of a swift return to winning ways. Brest's defensive nous is well-documented too, but Les Pirates have disciplinary concerns of their own to work around and have experienced little joy on Lille's turf down the years, so we still expect Fonseca's crop to come up trumps, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
LilleDrawBrest
58.97% (-0.424 -0.42) 21.72% (0.041 0.04) 19.3% (0.383 0.38)
Both teams to score 54.71% (0.551 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.82% (0.402 0.4)43.18% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.42% (0.395 0.4)65.58% (-0.39500000000001 -0.4)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.7% (0.0020000000000095 0)14.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)42.12%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (0.643 0.64)36.16% (-0.643 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (0.651 0.65)72.94% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Lille 58.97%
    Brest 19.3%
    Draw 21.72%
LilleDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.34% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.08% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 58.97%
1-1 @ 10.23%
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.087 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.72%
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.68% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 19.3%

How you voted: Lille vs Brest

Lille
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Brest
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
2-1
Brest
Diakite (60'), Alexsandro (80')
Djalo (8' og.)
Jan 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 18
Brest
0-0
Lille
Jan 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
2-0
Lille
Djalo (3' og.), Mounie (90+5' pen.)
Mounie (11'), Agoume (27')

Yilmaz (54'), Mandava (57'), Sanches (58')
Oct 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 11
Lille
1-1
Brest
David (19')
Mandava (31')
Faivre (32')
Herelle (70'), Bizot (90+1')
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
0-0
Brest
Celik (44'), Bamba (75')
Belkebla (7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Steelers
@
Browns
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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