MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 02:05:57| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Lille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
Brest logo

Lille
1 - 0
Brest

Yazici (6')
Andre (45+4'), Arnar Haraldsson (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Le Douaron (41'), Camblan (79'), Brahimi (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Lille and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lens 1-1 Lille
Sunday, October 8 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Toulouse
Sunday, October 8 at 2pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 1-0 Brest

Barring their surprise defeat at the hands of Reims a few weeks back, Lille are almost always the favourites when they step out onto familiar territory, but injuries and suspensions will threaten their chances of a swift return to winning ways. Brest's defensive nous is well-documented too, but Les Pirates have disciplinary concerns of their own to work around and have experienced little joy on Lille's turf down the years, so we still expect Fonseca's crop to come up trumps, albeit by a narrow margin. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.

Result
LilleDrawBrest
58.97% (-0.424 -0.42) 21.72% (0.041 0.04) 19.3% (0.383 0.38)
Both teams to score 54.71% (0.551 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.82% (0.402 0.4)43.18% (-0.401 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.42% (0.395 0.4)65.58% (-0.39500000000001 -0.4)
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.7% (0.0020000000000095 0)14.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.88% (0.0010000000000048 0)42.12%
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.84% (0.643 0.64)36.16% (-0.643 -0.64)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.06% (0.651 0.65)72.94% (-0.65000000000001 -0.65)
Score Analysis
    Lille 58.97%
    Brest 19.3%
    Draw 21.72%
LilleDrawBrest
1-0 @ 10.05% (-0.18 -0.18)
2-1 @ 9.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 9.78% (-0.174 -0.17)
3-1 @ 6.45% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 6.34% (-0.113 -0.11)
3-2 @ 3.28% (0.056 0.06)
4-1 @ 3.14% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 3.08% (-0.055 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.028 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-0 @ 1.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 58.97%
1-1 @ 10.23%
0-0 @ 5.17% (-0.092000000000001 -0.09)
2-2 @ 5.06% (0.087 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 21.72%
0-1 @ 5.26% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.2% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 2.68% (0.046 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.76% (0.06 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.72% (0.059 0.06)
0-3 @ 0.91% (0.031 0.03)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 19.3%

How you voted: Lille vs Brest

Lille
66.7%
Draw
11.1%
Brest
22.2%
18
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
2-1
Brest
Diakite (60'), Alexsandro (80')
Djalo (8' og.)
Jan 11, 2023 6pm
Gameweek 18
Brest
0-0
Lille
Jan 22, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 22
Brest
2-0
Lille
Djalo (3' og.), Mounie (90+5' pen.)
Mounie (11'), Agoume (27')

Yilmaz (54'), Mandava (57'), Sanches (58')
Oct 23, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 11
Lille
1-1
Brest
David (19')
Mandava (31')
Faivre (32')
Herelle (70'), Bizot (90+1')
Feb 14, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 25
Lille
0-0
Brest
Celik (44'), Bamba (75')
Belkebla (7')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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