Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 58.97%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Brest had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 2-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.23%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match.
Result | ||
Lille | Draw | Brest |
58.97% ( -0.42) | 21.72% ( 0.04) | 19.3% ( 0.38) |
Both teams to score 54.71% ( 0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.82% ( 0.4) | 43.18% ( -0.4) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.42% ( 0.4) | 65.58% ( -0.4) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.7% ( 0) | 14.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.88% ( 0) | 42.12% |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.84% ( 0.64) | 36.16% ( -0.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.06% ( 0.65) | 72.94% ( -0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Lille | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 10.05% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.78% ( -0.17) 3-1 @ 6.45% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 3.28% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( -0) 4-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 1.6% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 1.22% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 58.97% | 1-1 @ 10.23% 0-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.15% Total : 21.72% | 0-1 @ 5.26% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.06) 0-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 11 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 33 | 10 | 23 | 29 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 23 |
3 | Marseille | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 15 | 9 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 18 | 11 | 7 | 19 |
5 | Lyon | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 15 | 3 | 18 |
6 | Nice | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 21 | 11 | 10 | 17 |
7 | Reims | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 19 | 15 | 4 | 17 |
8 | Lens | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 17 |
9 | Auxerre | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 16 |
10 | Toulouse | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 11 | 2 | 15 |
11 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 13 |
12 | Brest | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 13 |
13 | Rennes | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 13 | 18 | -5 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 20 | -7 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 25 | -15 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 8 | 23 | -15 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 11 | 31 | -20 | 7 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |