Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Oct 29, 2023 at 12pm UK

Stade Francis-Le Ble

Brest
2 - 3
PSG

Mounie (43'), Le Douaron (52')
Roy (0'), Brassier (86'), Martin (87'), Bizot (88')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Zaire-Emery (16'), Mbappe (28', 89')
Hakimi (87'), Ruiz (88'), Mbappe (89'), Kolo (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Paris Saint-Germain, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brest

All competitions

Last Game: Lille 1-0 Brest
Sunday, October 22 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: PSG 3-0 AC Milan
Wednesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Brest 1-3 Paris Saint-Germain

Brest have made the Stade Francis-Le Ble a fortress this season, but their unbeaten home record will certainly come under threat when the champions visit on Sunday. Impressively, PSG have won each of their last 13 competitive meetings with Brest, and we think that they will prove too strong once again to claim maximum points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 55.53%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Brest had a probability of 21.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.69%) and 0-2 (9.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Brest win it was 2-1 (5.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Brest	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
21.93% ( -0.28)	22.53% ( -0.05)	55.53% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 56.14% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.75% (

-0.13)

43.25% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.35% (

-0.13)

65.65% (

0.13)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.4% (

-0.33)

33.6% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.75% (

-0.36)

70.25% (

0.36)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.55% (

0.06)

15.44% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.71% (

0.11)

44.29% (

-0.12)

Score Analysis

Brest 21.93%

Paris Saint-Germain 55.53%

Draw 22.53%

Brest	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 5.77% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.09% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.1% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.25% Total : 21.93%	1-1 @ 10.57% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.53%	1-2 @ 9.87% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 9.05% ( 0.09) 1-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.87% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 2.63% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 1.57% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 55.53%