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Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Monaco
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 4.05pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Metz logo

Monaco
2 - 1
Metz

Golovin (42', 55')
Matsima (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Camara (4')
Camara (53'), Tetteh (66'), N'Duquidi (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Monaco and Metz, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Reims 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, October 7 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Metz 0-1 Nice
Saturday, October 7 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Monaco 3-0 Metz

Metz have suffered 16 defeats versus Monaco in Ligue 1 this century, and they will be up against a side brimming with confidence who have had virtually no trouble finding the back of the net in this competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawMetz
48.83% (0.595 0.59) 24.35% (0.078000000000003 0.08) 26.82% (-0.668 -0.67)
Both teams to score 55.56% (-0.801 -0.8)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.42% (-0.804 -0.8)46.58% (0.809 0.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.15% (-0.759 -0.76)68.85% (0.76300000000001 0.76)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.86% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)19.14% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.22% (-0.123 -0.12)50.79% (0.129 0.13)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.72% (-0.92699999999999 -0.93)31.29% (0.933 0.93)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.36% (-1.091 -1.09)67.64% (1.097 1.1)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 48.83%
    Metz 26.82%
    Draw 24.35%
MonacoDrawMetz
1-0 @ 9.9% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.034999999999998 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.19% (0.237 0.24)
3-1 @ 5.24% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.51% (0.12 0.12)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.076 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.17% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.87% (0.046 0.05)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.034 -0.03)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 48.83%
1-1 @ 11.5% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 5.99% (0.201 0.2)
2-2 @ 5.53% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.35%
0-1 @ 6.96% (0.059 0.06)
1-2 @ 6.68% (-0.132 -0.13)
0-2 @ 4.04% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-3 @ 2.59% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-3 @ 2.14% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 26.82%

How you voted: Monaco vs Metz

Monaco
87.2%
Draw
7.7%
Metz
5.1%
39
Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 30
Metz
1-2
Monaco
Amadou (62')
Ben Yedder (46'), Boadu (72')
Dec 5, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 17
Monaco
4-0
Metz
Diop (2'), Volland (44' pen.), Martins (57'), Ben Yedder (87')
Volland (49')

Bronn (78'), Traore (90')
Apr 6, 2021 5.45pm
Round of 16
Monaco
0-0
Metz
Monaco win 5-4 on penalties
Angban (65')
Apr 3, 2021 12pm
Gameweek 31
Monaco
4-0
Metz
Fabregas (50' pen.), Volland (52'), Ben Yedder (77', 89' pen.)

Ndiaga Yade (36'), Caillard (48'), Kouyate (85'), Boye (85'), Centonze (90')
Boye (87')
Aug 30, 2020 2pm
Gameweek 2
Metz
0-1
Monaco
Badiashile (22')
Aguilar (19'), Fofana (24'), Martins (42'), Tchouameni (49')
Fofana (47')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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