Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Metz |
48.83% (![]() | 24.35% (![]() | 26.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.42% (![]() | 46.58% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.15% (![]() | 68.85% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.86% (![]() | 19.14% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.22% (![]() | 50.79% (![]() |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.72% (![]() | 31.29% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.36% (![]() | 67.64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 9.9% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.51% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.19% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.24% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.51% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.17% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 3.15% Total : 48.83% | 1-1 @ 11.5% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.99% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.53% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.96% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.59% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.14% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 2.84% Total : 26.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |