Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.83%. A win for Metz had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest Metz win was 0-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Metz |
48.83% ( 0.59) | 24.35% ( 0.08) | 26.82% ( -0.67) |
Both teams to score 55.56% ( -0.8) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.42% ( -0.8) | 46.58% ( 0.81) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.15% ( -0.76) | 68.85% ( 0.76) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.86% ( -0.07) | 19.14% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.22% ( -0.12) | 50.79% ( 0.13) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.72% ( -0.93) | 31.29% ( 0.93) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.36% ( -1.09) | 67.64% ( 1.1) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.31) 2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.12) 3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 2.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.15% Total : 48.83% | 1-1 @ 11.5% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.99% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.12) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.96% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 4.04% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.12) 2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.84% Total : 26.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 21 | 26 |
2 | Marseille | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23 | 12 | 11 | 20 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 20 |
4 | Lille | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 18 |
5 | Nice | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 16 |
6 | Lyon | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
7 | Lens | 10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 14 |
8 | Reims | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 14 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 13 |
10 | Auxerre | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 13 |
11 | Brest | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 13 |
12 | Toulouse | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 12 |
13 | Rennes | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 11 |
14 | NantesNantes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
15 | Angers | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 10 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 10 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 9 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 10 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 8 | 30 | -22 | 4 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |