Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 41.31%. A win for Nice had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Nice win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Nice |
41.31% ( -0.18) | 24.98% ( -0.03) | 33.71% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 57.32% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.99% ( 0.2) | 46.01% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.69% ( 0.19) | 68.31% ( -0.19) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.78% ( 0) | 22.22% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.35% ( 0) | 55.64% ( -0) |
Nice Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.69% ( 0.23) | 26.3% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.56% ( 0.3) | 61.43% ( -0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Nice |
2-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.08) 2-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.36% Total : 41.31% | 1-1 @ 11.74% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.85% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.32% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.98% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.81% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.26% Total : 33.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 40 | 12 | 28 | 37 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 12 | 12 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |