Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 28

Mar 19, 2023 at 12pm UK

Stade Francois Coty

Ajaccio
0 - 2
Monaco

Belaili (2'), Diallo (14')
Bayala (53')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ben Yedder (27'), Diatta (84')
Maripan (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Ajaccio and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Ajaccio

All competitions

Last Game: Ajaccio 0-1 Montpellier
Sunday, March 12 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Reims
Sunday, March 12 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

The Monaco backline seems to be getting healthier, while Ajaccio have not given their fans much to cheer about in the attack throughout the campaign. Les Monegasques have been more organised and compact away from home, and we expect them to be on the front foot against the Corsicans, who have not created many scoring opportunities at Stade Francois Coty. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 49.9%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Ajaccio had a probability of 24.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.5%) and 1-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for an Ajaccio win it was 1-0 (8.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Monaco in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Monaco.

Result
Ajaccio	Draw	Monaco
24.31% ( -0.04)	25.79% ( -0.03)	49.9% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 48.81% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.67% (

0.06)

54.33% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.28% (

0.05)

75.72% (

-0.05)

Ajaccio Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.42% (

-0)

37.58% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.64% (

-0)

74.36%

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.2% (

0.06)

21.8% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.99% (

0.09)

55.01% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Ajaccio 24.31%

Monaco 49.9%

Draw 25.78%

Ajaccio	Draw	Monaco
1-0 @ 8.02% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.98% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 1.67% Total : 24.31%	1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.55% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 25.78%	0-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.3% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 4.83% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.13% Total : 49.9%