Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17

Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)

Toulouse
1 - 2
Monaco

Magri (5')
Costa (45+3'), Donnum (52')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Ben Yedder (26', 44' pen.)
Salisu (3'), Hutter (4'), Diop (57'), Magassa (66')
Golovin (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Toulouse and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toulouse

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Rennes
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco

All competitions

Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Lyon
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Monaco are much more dynamic with Golovin in the fold, and his presence should reinvigorate them in midweek, while Les Monegasques have followed up every defeat this season with a victory. Playing in Europe seems to impact Toulouse domestically, with Le Tefece lacking imagination during their Ligue 1 affairs, perhaps due to fatigue with a much more demanding schedule than they are used to. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match.

Result
Toulouse	Draw	Monaco
36.11% ( 0.04)	24.56% ( -0)	39.32% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 59.27% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.32% (

0.01)

43.67% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.93% (

0.01)

66.06% (

-0.01)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16% (

0.02)

23.84% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98% (

0.03)

58.02% (

-0.04)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.82% (

-0.02)

22.17% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.42% (

-0.02)

55.57% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Toulouse 36.11%

Monaco 39.32%

Draw 24.56%

Toulouse	Draw	Monaco
2-1 @ 8.19% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.58% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0) 4-0 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.07% Total : 36.11%	1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.29% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.56%	1-2 @ 8.6% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.32% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.1% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.63% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.42% Total : 39.32%