Ligue 1 | Gameweek 17
Dec 20, 2023 at 8pm UK
Stadium de Toulouse (Toulouse)
Toulouse1 - 2Monaco
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Rennes
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, December 17 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Monaco 0-1 Lyon
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Friday, December 15 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Toulouse 1-2 Monaco
Monaco are much more dynamic with Golovin in the fold, and his presence should reinvigorate them in midweek, while Les Monegasques have followed up every defeat this season with a victory. Playing in Europe seems to impact Toulouse domestically, with Le Tefece lacking imagination during their Ligue 1 affairs, perhaps due to fatigue with a much more demanding schedule than they are used to. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 39.32%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 36.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 2-1 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match.
| Result | ||
| Toulouse | Draw | Monaco |
36.11% ( 0.04) | 24.56% ( -0) | 39.32% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.27% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
