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Marseille
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 19
Jan 27, 2024 at 8pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Monaco

Marseille
2 - 2
Monaco

Aubameyang (38'), Balerdi (50')
Soglo (76')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ben Yedder (7'), Akliouche (45+4')
Zakaria (75'), Kehrer (82')
Maripan (11'), Zakaria (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rennes 1-1 Marseille (9-8 pen.)
Sunday, January 21 at 8.05pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Rodez AF 1-3 Monaco
Saturday, January 20 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Marseille 2-2 Monaco

Both sides have plenty of quality attacking pieces to count upon, and with many players away for each on international duty, we expect plenty of opportunities both ways. Strikers like Aubameyang and Ben Yedder do not miss their chances often, and we believe they will each have their share of them on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 53.39%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 24.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.13%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
MarseilleDrawMonaco
53.39% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 22.17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 24.44% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 60.67% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.25% (0.026000000000003 0.03)38.74% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)61.05% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)
Marseille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.41% (0.01700000000001 0.02)14.58% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.34% (0.034999999999997 0.03)42.66% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.02%28.97%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.13% (0.0019999999999953 0)64.86%
Score Analysis
    Marseille 53.4%
    Monaco 24.44%
    Draw 22.16%
MarseilleDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 8.13% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 7.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.23% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5.03% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.86% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 3% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 2.42% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
5-0 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 53.4%
1-1 @ 10.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.01%
0-0 @ 4.23% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 22.16%
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-1 @ 5.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 2.48%
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 24.44%

How you voted: Marseille vs Monaco

Marseille
39.6%
Draw
40.6%
Monaco
19.8%
106
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 7
Monaco
3-2
Marseille
Akliouche (8', 52'), Balogun (23')
Fofana (42'), Zakaria (59'), Matazo (76'), Magassa (90+2')
Ndiaye (1'), Gigot (18')
Correa (54'), Correa (59'), Clauss (73'), Rongier (77')
Jan 28, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 20
Marseille
1-1
Monaco
Sanchez (47')
Veretout (17' og.)
Nov 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Monaco
2-3
Marseille
Ben Yedder (45' pen.), Volland (72')
Sanchez (35'), Veretout (83'), Kolasinac (90+7')
Mar 6, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Marseille
0-1
Monaco

Peres (53'), Sampaoli (82'), Kamara (90+1')
Martins (58')
Disasi (56')
Sep 11, 2021 8pm
Gameweek 5
Monaco
0-2
Marseille

Diop (23'), Tchouameni (49'), Aguilar (57'), Fofana (83')
Dieng (37', 60')
Sampaoli (15'), Kamara (16')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG108202982126
2Marseille1062223121120
3MonacoMonaco10622157820
4Lille10532169718
5Nice104421991016
6Lyon104331715215
7Lens1035297214
8Reims104241615114
9StrasbourgStrasbourg103431919013
10Auxerre104151718-113
11Brest104151316-313
12Toulouse103341111012
13Rennes103251316-311
14NantesNantes102441214-210
15Angers102441116-510
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne103161024-1410
17Le HavreLe Havre10307820-129
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier10118830-224


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