Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 54.21%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 23.52% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.65%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (6.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
54.21% (![]() | 22.28% | 23.52% (![]() |
Both teams to score 59.15% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.75% | 40.25% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.38% | 62.62% (![]() |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.16% | 14.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.85% (![]() | 43.15% (![]() |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.46% (![]() | 30.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.24% (![]() | 66.76% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Monaco | Draw | Lyon |
2-1 @ 9.78% 1-0 @ 8.65% 2-0 @ 8.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.22% 3-0 @ 5.25% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.69% 4-1 @ 2.97% 4-0 @ 2.5% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.13% 5-0 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.06% Total : 54.21% | 1-1 @ 10.25% 2-2 @ 5.8% 0-0 @ 4.53% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.27% | 1-2 @ 6.08% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.38% 0-2 @ 3.19% 1-3 @ 2.41% 2-3 @ 2.29% 0-3 @ 1.26% ( ![]() Other @ 2.91% Total : 23.52% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 22 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 59 | 20 | 39 | 56 |
2 | Marseille | 22 | 14 | 4 | 4 | 50 | 26 | 24 | 46 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 40 |
4 | Nice | 21 | 10 | 7 | 4 | 41 | 26 | 15 | 37 |
5 | Lille | 21 | 9 | 8 | 4 | 34 | 22 | 12 | 35 |
6 | Lyon | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 33 |
7 | Lens | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 25 | 20 | 5 | 33 |
8 | Brest | 22 | 10 | 2 | 10 | 35 | 38 | -3 | 32 |
9 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 35 | 32 | 3 | 30 |
10 | Toulouse | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 27 |
11 | Auxerre | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 25 |
12 | Rennes | 21 | 7 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 23 |
13 | Angers | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 22 | 31 | -9 | 23 |
14 | Reims | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 26 | 33 | -7 | 22 |
15 | NantesNantes | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 21 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 22 | 5 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 50 | -30 | 18 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 17 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 21 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 15 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |