MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 15:36:59| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
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Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Metz logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Saint-Symphorien
Toulouse

Metz
0 - 1
Toulouse


Jean Jacques (18'), Boloni (19'), Sabaly (20'), N'Doram (37')
Herelle (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sierro (12' pen.)
Dallinga (40'), Kamanzi (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Metz and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Metz 1-1 Clermont (1-3 pen.)
Friday, January 5 at 7.45pm in Coupe de France
Last Game: Chambery 0-3 Toulouse
Sunday, January 7 at 4.30pm in Coupe de France

We said: Metz 2-1 Toulouse

Metz have struggled massively in recent matches, but the return of goalscorer Chakvetadze could give them the boost required to earn a rare three points. Toulouse are without a number of their key players due to injuries and AFCON, meaning we cannot imagine Les Violets getting a result on their travels in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Metz win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Metz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 0-1 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.

Result
MetzDrawToulouse
38.49% (0.261 0.26) 26.76% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 34.75% (-0.304 -0.3)
Both teams to score 51.57% (-0.18 -0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.51% (-0.211 -0.21)53.49% (0.214 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.99% (-0.178 -0.18)75.01% (0.18100000000001 0.18)
Metz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.93% (0.048000000000002 0.05)27.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.56% (0.061999999999998 0.06)62.44% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Toulouse Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.71% (-0.29300000000001 -0.29)29.29% (0.294 0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.75% (-0.361 -0.36)65.25% (0.363 0.36)
Score Analysis
    Metz 38.48%
    Toulouse 34.75%
    Draw 26.76%
MetzDrawToulouse
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.31% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.074 0.07)
3-1 @ 3.62% (0.015 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.95% (0.036 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.22% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.18% (0.006 0.01)
4-0 @ 0.96% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 38.48%
1-1 @ 12.72% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.93% (0.066 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.11% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
3-3 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.76%
0-1 @ 9.73% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 7.81% (-0.052 -0.05)
0-2 @ 5.98% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 2.45% (-0.04 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.98% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 34.75%

How you voted: Metz vs Toulouse

Metz
36.8%
Draw
39.5%
Toulouse
23.7%
38
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 7
Toulouse
3-0
Metz
Schmidt (31'), Dallinga (43'), Magri (82')
Nicolaisen (13'), Suazo (63'), Sierro (75')
Mar 14, 2020 7pm
Sep 28, 2019 7pm
Gameweek 8
Metz
2-2
Toulouse
Diallo (4'), Niane (91' pen.)
Delaine (11')
Said (86'), Koulouris (95')
Gradel (95')
Mar 3, 2018 7pm
Metz
1-1
Toulouse
Roux (32')
Palmieri (42')
Amian (84')
Jean (18'), Moubandje (44'), Toivonen (87'), Durmaz (90')
Nov 18, 2017 7pm
Toulouse
0-0
Metz
Blin (39'), Amian Adou (72')
Niakhate (16'), Dossevi (41'), Roux (51')
Diagne (23')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


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