MX23RW : Sunday, November 24 13:20:13| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 16
Dec 28, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Lyon

Brest
2 - 4
Lyon

Pereira Lage (29'), Mounie (72')
Chardonnet (34'), Camara (39')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Caqueret (21'), Cherki (32'), Lacazette (35' pen.), Tete (49')
Cherki (31'), Caqueret (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Lyon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 2-1 Troyes
Sunday, November 13 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Liverpool 1-3 Lyon
Sunday, December 11 at 2pm in Club Friendlies 1

We said: Brest 1-1 Lyon

Despite having plenty of experienced players and lots of quality, Lyon still seem to be searching for their identity under Blanc. Brest do not possess nearly as much talent on paper as their opponents but have been sharper along the back end at home in league play, and they seem to be able to handle OL when they come to town. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Brest had a probability of 31.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.06%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Brest win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lyon would win this match.

Result
BrestDrawLyon
31.21% (0.0039999999999978 0) 25.15% (0.0010000000000012 0) 43.64%
Both teams to score 55.79% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.42% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)47.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)69.79% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)28.65% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)64.47% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Lyon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)21.8% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45% (0.0039999999999978 0)55%
Score Analysis
    Brest 31.21%
    Lyon 43.64%
    Draw 25.15%
BrestDrawLyon
1-0 @ 7.81%
2-1 @ 7.43%
2-0 @ 4.88% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-2 @ 2.36% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.03% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 0.97% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 31.21%
1-1 @ 11.89%
0-0 @ 6.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 9.52% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 9.06%
0-2 @ 7.25% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.6%
0-3 @ 3.68%
2-3 @ 2.88% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.75%
0-4 @ 1.4%
2-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 43.64%

How you voted: Brest vs Lyon

Brest
15.9%
Draw
23.9%
Lyon
60.2%
88
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Brest
2-1
Lyon
Mounie (27' pen.), Cardona (74')
Faussurier (30'), Satriano (58')
Dembele (72')
Tete (18'), Mendes (55')
Aug 7, 2021 4pm
Lyon
1-1
Brest
Slimani (62')
Slimani (90+2')
Cardona (43')
Magnetti (67')
Feb 19, 2021 8pm
Brest
2-3
Lyon
Chardonnet (53'), Cardona (74')
Belkebla (40'), Herelle (90+6')
Paqueta (9'), Aouar (29'), Depay (44' pen.)
De Sciglio (56'), Paqueta (90+6')
Dec 16, 2020 8pm
Lyon
2-2
Brest
Depay (69' pen.), Cornet (81')
De Sciglio (15'), Lopes (90'), Paqueta (90+6')
Lopes (39' og.), Faivre (90+2' pen.)
Lasne (74')
May 23, 2020 7pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Vikings
@
Bears
6pm
Lions
@
Colts
6pm
Patriots
@
Dolphins
6pm
Buccaneers
@
Giants
6pm
Chiefs
@
Panthers
6pm
Titans
@
Texans
6pm
Cowboys
@
Washington
9.05pm
Broncos
@
Raiders
9.25pm
49ers
@
Packers
9.25pm
Cardinals
@
Seahawks
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG12102036102632
2MonacoMonaco1282221101126
3Marseille1272327161123
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon125431916319
6Reims125342016418
7Nice1145221111017
8Lens124531312117
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse124351314-115
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest124171622-613
13Saint-EtienneSt Etienne124171125-1413
14Rennes113261318-511
15NantesNantes112451417-310
16Angers112451320-710
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier122191132-217


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!