Ligue 1 | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Stade Velodrome
Marseille1 - 0Lyon
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Marseille 1-2 Spurs
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Tuesday, November 1 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lyon 1-0 Lille
Sunday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, October 30 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
We said: Marseille 1-2 Lyon
Both the form book and recent results suggests that Marseille will enter this Choc des Olympiques as the underdogs, and Lyon boss Blanc has already passed one true test of his mettle against Lille. Winning more than once away from home has been a fruitless endeavour for Lyon for several months, but with Marseille low on morale and struggling to perform in front of their own fans, a third successive victory could be Blanc's in the weekend's Ligue 1 finale. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 46.9%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 29.41% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.14%). The likeliest Lyon win was 1-2 (7.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Marseille | Draw | Lyon |
46.9% ( 0.52) | 23.69% ( 0.05) | 29.41% ( -0.57) |
| Both teams to score 59.81% ( -0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
