Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 10

Oct 7, 2022 at 8pm UK

Stade de Gerland

Lyon
1 - 1
Toulouse

Tete (2')
Toko Ekambi (88'), Cherki (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ratao (67')
Dallinga (4'), Aboukhlal (30')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Ligue 1 clash between Lyon and Toulouse, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions

Last Game: Lens 1-0 Lyon
Sunday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Toulouse

All competitions

Last Game: Toulouse 4-2 Montpellier
Sunday, October 2 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Even with the Groupama faithful behind them, backing a depleted Lyon side to get the job done with any real confidence is a difficult ask, although it is important to note that all four of their recent losses have come against teams higher than them in the table. Toulouse may be buoyed by their recent derby success, but keeping things tight at the back away from home has been a sticky point for Les Violets - who will be without their only recognised right-back - and we still have faith in Bosz's side to return to winning ways here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 57.92%. A win for Toulouse had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.21%) and 1-0 (7.87%). The likeliest Toulouse win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Lyon	Draw	Toulouse
57.92% ( -0.03)	20.87% ( 0.01)	21.22% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 60.97% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.59% (

-0)

36.42% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.45% (

-0.01)

58.55% (

0.01)

Lyon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.57% (

-0.01)

12.43% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.66% (

-0.02)

38.34% (

0.02)

Toulouse Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.62% (

0.02)

30.38% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.42% (

0.02)

66.58% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Lyon 57.92%

Toulouse 21.22%

Draw 20.87%

Lyon	Draw	Toulouse
2-1 @ 9.78% 2-0 @ 8.21% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.87% ( -0) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.71% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.05% 4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.98% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.11% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 4.15% Total : 57.92%	1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.78% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 20.87%	1-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.5% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.68% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 21.22%