Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 36.51%. A win for Brest had a probability of 34.22% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.47%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nantes would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Brest |
36.51% (![]() | 29.27% (![]() | 34.22% (![]() |
Both teams to score 44.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.25% (![]() | 62.75% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.71% (![]() | 82.29% (![]() |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.16% (![]() | 32.84% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.59% (![]() | 69.4% (![]() |
Brest Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.64% (![]() | 34.36% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.94% (![]() | 71.06% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Brest |
1-0 @ 12.56% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.47% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.77% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.6% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.48% ( ![]() Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 13.42% (![]() 0-0 @ 11.28% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.99% ( ![]() Other @ 0.57% Total : 29.26% | 0-1 @ 12.05% (![]() 1-2 @ 7.17% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 6.44% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.42% ( ![]() Other @ 2.29% Total : 34.22% |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | ![]() | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | ![]() | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |