MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 16:11:54| >> :300:86500:86500:
Angers
AJ Auxerre
Brest logo
Le Havre
Lens logo
Lille
Lyon
Marseille
Monaco
Montpellier
Nantes
Nice
PSG logo
Reims
Rennes
Saint-Etienne
Strasbourg
Toulouse
Brest logo
Ligue 1 | Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Troyes

Brest
2 - 1
Troyes

Del Castillo (55' pen.), Mounie (77' pen.)
Herelle (80'), Chardonnet (86'), Bizot (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Chardonnet (60' og.)
Kouame (34'), Lopes (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Brest and Troyes, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Nice 1-0 Brest
Sunday, November 6 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Troyes 1-1 Auxerre
Friday, November 4 at 8pm in Ligue 1

We said: Brest 2-2 Troyes

Neither side are particularly enjoying their football at the moment, and may just hope to avoid defeat before the lengthy World Cup break in a fixture which historically has been very tight. Troyes' last seven games have seen both teams score though, and Brest have been leaky in defence too, so goals should be a near certainty. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.85%. A win for Troyes had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.61%). The likeliest Troyes win was 1-2 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Brest in this match.

Result
BrestDrawTroyes
43.85% (0.064999999999998 0.06) 24.01% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 32.14% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 60.18% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.97% (0.017000000000003 0.02)42.03% (-0.020000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.57% (0.017000000000003 0.02)64.43% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Brest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.6% (0.033999999999992 0.03)19.39% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.79% (0.056999999999995 0.06)51.2% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Troyes Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.66% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)25.34% (0.025000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.87% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)60.12% (0.031999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Brest 43.85%
    Troyes 32.14%
    Draw 24%
BrestDrawTroyes
2-1 @ 9.08% (0.0059999999999985 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.06% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 6.61% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.0089999999999995 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.61% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.48% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.4% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 43.85%
1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.23%
0-0 @ 4.91% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 24%
1-2 @ 7.6% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 32.14%

How you voted: Brest vs Troyes

Brest
43.6%
Draw
35.9%
Troyes
20.5%
39
Head to Head
Feb 13, 2022 2pm
Brest
5-1
Troyes
Satriano (7', 27'), Honorat (49', 67'), Mounie (82')
Agoume (15'), Der Zakarian (66')
Rami (45')
Tardieu (43')
Dec 22, 2021 8pm
Troyes
1-1
Brest
Rami (80')
Kabore (13'), Moulin (13')
Honorat (5')
Herelle (22'), Mounie (54')
Jan 12, 2019 2pm
Brest
1-1
Troyes
Autret (38')
Larsonneur (56'), Belaud (71'), Autret (72'), N'Goma (90')
Weber (90')
Mbeumo (51')
Marcel (74'), Obiang (75')
Obiang (90')
Aug 3, 2018 7pm
Troyes
1-2
Brest
Touzghar (13')
Kashi (41'), Obiang (45')
Charbonnier (37', 42')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Packers
@
Bears
6pm
Raiders
@
Dolphins
6pm
Colts
@
Jets
6pm
Jags
@
Lions
6pm
Rams
@
Patriots
6pm
Browns
@
Saints
6pm
Ravens
@
Steelers
6pm
Vikings
@
Titans
9.05pm
Seahawks
@
49ers
9.05pm
Falcons
@
Broncos
9.25pm
Chiefs
@
Bills
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Paris Saint-GermainPSG1192033102329
2MonacoMonaco117221881023
3Marseille116232415920
4Lille115421811719
5Lyon115331815318
6Nice1145221111017
7Reims115241915417
8Lens11452129317
9Auxerre115152019116
10Toulouse114341311215
11StrasbourgStrasbourg113442022-213
12Brest114161419-513
13Rennes113261318-511
14NantesNantes112451417-310
15Angers112451320-710
16Saint-EtienneSt Etienne113171025-1510
17Le HavreLe Havre11308823-159
18Montpellier HSCMontpellier112181131-207


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!