Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: PSG 1-3 Lorient
Sunday, April 30 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Sunday, April 30 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 2-0 Nantes
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Wednesday, May 3 at 8pm in Ligue 1
We said: Lorient 1-1 Brest
There is much less on the line for Lorient than Brest at this stage of the season, but Le Bris will not want to witness any drop-off in performance following last week's memorable success, which should lead to a combative and closely-fought derby this weekend. Brest may be on an upward trajectory, but failure to convert draws into wins on the road is bedevilling them, and we can picture Les Pirates accepting a point on their travels again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lorient win with a probability of 38.5%. A win for Brest had a probability of 33.52% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lorient win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.17%). The likeliest Brest win was 0-1 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lorient would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lorient | Draw | Brest |
38.5% ( 0.35) | 27.98% ( -0.03) | 33.52% ( -0.32) |
| Both teams to score 47.64% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.66% ( 0.05) | 58.35% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.04% ( 0.04) | 78.96% ( -0.04) |
| Lorient Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.62% ( 0.23) | 29.38% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.63% ( 0.28) | 65.37% ( -0.28) |
| Brest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.47% ( -0.19) | 32.53% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 30.93% ( -0.21) | 69.07% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
Lorient 38.5%
Brest 33.51%
Draw 27.97%
| Lorient | Draw | Brest |
| 1-0 @ 11.7% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 38.5% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.52% ( 0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.38% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.51% |
How you voted: Lorient vs Brest
Lorient
56.5%Draw
17.4%Brest
26.1%23
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 2pm
Feb 27, 2022 2pm
gameweek 26
Brest
0-1
Lorient
Apr 4, 2021 2pm
gameweek 31
Lorient
1-0
Brest
Sep 20, 2020 2pm
gameweek 4
Brest
3-2
Lorient
