Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Angers had a probability of 28.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Angers win was 0-1 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
